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The estimation of a probability p from repeated Bernoulli trials is considered in this paper. A sequential approach is followed, using a simple stopping rule. A closed-form expression and an upper bound are obtained for the mean absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Luis Mendo

This paper presents a general theoretical framework of penalized quasi-maximum likelihood (PQML) estimation in stationary multiple time series models when the number of parameters possibly diverges. We show the oracle property of the PQML…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Yoshimasa Uematsu

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Previous studies yielded discouraging results for item-level locally differentially private linear regression with $s^*$-sparsity assumption, where the minimax rate for $nm$ samples is $\mathcal{O}(s^{*}d / nm\varepsilon^2)$. This can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-09 Yuheng Ma , Ke Jia , Hanfang Yang

We study the task of high-dimensional entangled mean estimation in the subset-of-signals model. Specifically, given $N$ independent random points $x_1,\ldots,x_N$ in $\mathbb{R}^D$ and a parameter $\alpha \in (0, 1)$ such that each $x_i$ is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Sihan Liu , Thanasis Pittas

We study the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the multivariate deviated model where the data are generated from the density function $(1-\lambda^{\ast})h_{0}(x)+\lambda^{\ast}f(x|\mu^{\ast}, \Sigma^{\ast})$ in which $h_{0}$ is a known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Dat Do , Huy Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hojun You , Kyubaek Yoon , Wei-Ying Wu , Jongeun Choi , Chae Young Lim

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

Self-improvement through post-training methods such as iterative preference learning has been acclaimed for enhancing the problem-solving capabilities (e.g., mathematical reasoning) of Large Language Models (LLMs) without human…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Ting Wu , Xuefeng Li , Pengfei Liu

Closed-loop learning is the process of repeatedly estimating a model from data generated from the model itself. It is receiving great attention due to the possibility that large neural network models may, in the future, be primarily trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Fariba Jangjoo , Matteo Marsili , Yasser Roudi

Efficient estimation methods for simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) models with missing data in the response variable have been well-explored in the literature. A common practice is to introduce measurement error into SAR models to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Anjana Wijayawardhana , Thomas Suesse , David Gunawan

In many problem settings, parameter vectors are not merely sparse but dependent in such a way that non-zero coefficients tend to cluster together. We refer to this form of dependency as "region sparsity." Classical sparse regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-28 Anqi Wu , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Jonathan W. Pillow

The standard approach to fitting an autoregressive spike train model is to maximize the likelihood for one-step prediction. This maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) often leads to models that perform poorly when generating samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Diego M. Arribas , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

We consider the Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence prediction. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting performance measure: (a) this quantity is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

In this work, we study the problem of learning partially observed linear dynamical systems from a single sample trajectory. A major practical challenge in the existing system identification methods is the undesirable dependency of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-09 Salar Fattahi

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Relative error approaches are more of concern compared to absolute error ones such as the least square and least absolute deviation, when it needs scale invariant of output variable, for example with analyzing stock and survival data. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 Zhanfeng Wang , Zhuojian Chen , Zimu Chen

We propose a novel class of time-varying nonparanormal graphical models, which allows us to model high dimensional heavy-tailed systems and the evolution of their latent network structures. Under this model, we develop statistical tests for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

Mixture models are widely used to fit complex and multimodal datasets. In this paper we study mixtures with high dimensional sparse latent parameter vectors and consider the problem of support recovery of those vectors. While parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Arya Mazumdar , Soumyabrata Pal