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The problem of combining multiple forecasts of related quantities that obey expected equality and additivity constraints, often referred to a hierarchical forecast reconciliation, is naturally stated as a simple optimization problem. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tianyu Wang , Matthew C. Johnson , Steven Klee , Matthew L. Malloy

Model selection has been proven an effective strategy for improving accuracy in time series forecasting applications. However, when dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from selecting the most appropriate forecasting model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Evangelos Spiliotis , Christoph Bergmeir

Time series forecasting occurs in a range of financial applications providing essential decision-making support to investors, regulatory institutions, and analysts. Unlike multivariate time series from other domains, stock time series…

Bundling, the practice of jointly selling two or more products at a discount, is a widely used strategy in industry and a well examined concept in academia. Historically, the focus has been on theoretical studies in the context of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Madhav Kumar , Dean Eckles , Sinan Aral

Forecast reconciliation has become a prominent topic in recent forecasting literature, with a primary distinction made between cross-sectional and temporal hierarchies. This work focuses on temporal hierarchies, such as aggregating monthly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Lukas Neubauer , Peter Filzmoser

Multidimensional in data warehouse is a compulsion and become the most important for information delivery, without multidimensional Multidimensional in data warehouse is a compulsion and become the most important for information delivery,…

Databases · Computer Science 2010-06-10 Spits Warnars

This paper is concerned with distributed limited memory prediction for continuous-time linear stochastic systems with multiple sensors. A distributed fusion with the weighted sum structure is applied to the optimal local limited memory…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-02-18 Ha-ryong Song , Vladimir Shin

Many real-life applications involve simultaneously forecasting multiple time series that are hierarchically related via aggregation or disaggregation operations. For instance, commercial organizations often want to forecast inventories…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xing Han , Sambarta Dasgupta , Joydeep Ghosh

Partial Least Squares (PLS) methods have been heavily exploited to analyse the association between two blocs of data. These powerful approaches can be applied to data sets where the number of variables is greater than the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-24 Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux , Benoit Liquet , Matthew Sutton

Linearly constrained multiple time series may be encountered in many practical contexts, such as the National Accounts (e.g., GDP disaggregated by Income, Expenditure and Output), and multilevel frameworks where the variables are organized…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

Point forecast reconciliation of collection of time series with linear aggregation constraints has evolved substantially over the last decade. A few commonly used methods are GLS (generalized least squares), OLS (ordinary least squares),…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Shanika L Wickramasuriya

Forecast combinations have been widely applied in the last few decades to improve forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always an easy task. In recent years, the idea of using time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Yanfei Kang , Wei Cao , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

We revisit the problem of large-scale assortment optimization under the multinomial logit choice model without any assumptions on the structure of the feasible assortments. Scalable real-time assortment optimization has become essential in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-02 Deeksha Sinha , Theja Tulabandhula

Growing competitiveness and increasing availability of data is generating tremendous interest in data-driven analytics across industries. In the retail sector, stores need targeted guidance to improve both the efficiency and effectiveness…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Haidar Almohri , Ratna Babu Chinnam , Mark Colosimo

Hierarchical forecasting (HF) is needed in many situations in the supply chain (SC) because managers often need different levels of forecasts at different levels of SC to make a decision. Top-Down (TD), Bottom-Up (BU) and Optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Garth Tarr , Christoph Bergmeir

We propose a two-stage estimation method of variance components in time series models known as FDSLRMs, whose observations can be described by a linear mixed model (LMM). We based estimating variances, fundamental quantities in a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-10 Martina Hančová , Gabriela Vozáriková , Andrej Gajdoš , Jozef Hanč

Sparse Partial Least Squares (sPLS) is a common dimensionality reduction technique for data fusion, which projects data samples from two views by seeking linear combinations with a small number of variables with the maximum variance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Wenwen Min , Taosheng Xu , Chris Ding

Clustering is an important data mining technique where we will be interested in maximizing intracluster distance and also minimizing intercluster distance. We have utilized clustering techniques for detecting deviation in product sales and…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-12-11 S. Hanumanth Sastry , Prof. M. S. Prasada Babu

Time-series forecasting is an important task in both academic and industry, which can be applied to solve many real forecasting problems like stock, water-supply, and sales predictions. In this paper, we study the case of retailers' sales…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Chaochao Chen , Ziqi Liu , Jun Zhou , Xiaolong Li , Yuan Qi , Yujing Jiao , Xingyu Zhong

We revisit the interest of classical statistical techniques for sales forecasting like exponential smoothing and extensions thereof (as Holt's linear trend method). We do so by considering ensemble forecasts, given by several instances of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-08 Malo Huard , Rémy Garnier , Gilles Stoltz