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Cluster number counts offer sensitive probes of the dark energy if and only if the_evolution_ of the cluster mass versus observable relation(s) is well calibrated. We investigate the potential for internal calibration by demanding…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-12 Wayne Hu

Ensemble forecasting is a technique devised to palliate sensitivity to initial conditions in nonlinear dynamical systems. The basic idea to avoid this sensitivity is to run the model many times under several slightly-different initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 F J Tapiador , R Verdejo

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

Crowd dynamics and many large biological systems can be described as populations of agents or particles, which can only be observed on aggregate population level. Identifying the dynamics of agents is crucial for understanding these large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Filip Elvander , Isabel Haasler

Multicellular systems play a key role in bioprocess and biomedical engineering. Cell ensembles encountered in these setups show phenotypic variability like size and biochemical composition. As this variability may result in undesired…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-16 Armin Küper , Robert Dürr , Steffen Waldherr

In this paper, we consider the problem of steering a family of independent, structurally identical, finite-dimensional stochastic linear systems with variation in system parameters between initial and target states of interest by using an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Ji Qi , Anatoly Zlotnik , Jr-Shin Li

We study an ensemble of diverse (inhomogeneous) thermostatically controlled loads aggregated to provide the demand response (DR) services in a district-level energy system. Each load in the ensemble is assumed to be equipped with a random…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-04 David Métivier , Ilia Luchnikov , Michael Chertkov

The goal of ensemble forecasting is to maximise sharpness subject to reliability. Marginal reliability means that, over all cases, the ensemble is statistically consistent with reality: the ensemble mean is unbiased, the expected ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Jonas Spaeth , Christopher D. Roberts

We study the problem of controlling population dynamics, a class of linear dynamical systems evolving on the probability simplex, from the perspective of online non-stochastic control. While Golowich et.al. 2024 analyzed the fully…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Zhou Lu , Y. Jennifer Sun , Zhiyu Zhang

Reliable anomaly detection in distributed power plant monitoring systems is essential for ensuring operational continuity and reducing maintenance costs, particularly in regions where telecom operators heavily rely on diesel generators.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Corneille Niyonkuru , Marcellin Atemkeng , Gabin Maxime Nguegnang , Arnaud Nguembang Fadja

We analyze statistical properties of the complex system with conditions which manifests through specific constraints on the column/row sum of the matrix elements. The presence of additional constraints besides symmetry leads to new…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Pragya Shukla , Suchetana Sadhukhan

In control theory, understanding the observability property of a system is crucial for effectively managing and controlling dynamical systems. This property empowers us to deduce the internal state of a system from its outputs over time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Thiago Matheus Cavalheiro , Alexandre José Santana , Victor Ayala

This paper addresses the modeling and control of heterogeneous populations of thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) operated by model predictive control (MPC) schemes at level of each TCL. It is shown that the dynamics of such TCLs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Jun Zheng , Gabriel Laparra , Guchuan Zhu , Meng Li

A hidden Markov model is called observable if distinct initial laws give rise to distinct laws of the observation process. Observability implies stability of the nonlinear filter when the signal process is tight, but this need not be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-10 Ramon van Handel

I investigate the problem of finding a statistical description of a complex many-body system whose invariant measure cannot be constructed stemming from classical thermodynamics ensembles. By taking solitons as a reference system and by…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2011-03-09 A. Fratalocchi

Recent years have witnessed a wave of research activities in systems science toward the study of population systems. The driving force behind this shift was geared by numerous emerging and ever-changing technologies in life and physical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Jr-Shin Li , Wei Zhang , Lin Tie

We analyse stability of observability estimates for solutions to wave and Scr\" odinger equations subjected to additive perturbations. The paper generalises the recent averaged observability/control result by allowing for systems consisting…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Martin Lazar

The empirical measure of an interacting particle system is a purely atomic random probability measure. In the limit as the number of particles grows to infinity, we show for McKean-Vlasov systems with common noise that this measure becomes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Robert Alexander Crowell

This study focuses on the exact observability of a non-classical Euler-Bernoulli micro-beam equation. This non-classical model was derived based on the strain gradient elasticity theory, which is intended to explain the phenomenon of size…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Mohammad Sajjad Edalatzadeh , Aria Alasty , Ramin Vatankhah

Pattern-forming nonequilibrium systems are ubiquitous in nature, from driven quantum matter and biological life forms to atmospheric and interstellar gases. Identifying universal aspects of their far-from-equilibrium dynamics and statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-03 Vili Heinonen , Abel J. Abraham , Jonasz Słomka , Keaton J. Burns , Pedro J. Sáenz , Jörn Dunkel