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Folding uncertainty in theoretical models into Bayesian parameter estimation is necessary in order to make reliable inferences. A general means of achieving this is by marginalizing over model uncertainty using a prior distribution…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-03-04 Christopher J. Moore , Christopher P. L. Berry , Alvin J. K. Chua , Jonathan R. Gair

Inferring the properties of colliding black holes from gravitational-wave observations is subject to systematic errors arising from modelling uncertainties. Although the accuracy of each model can be calculated through comparison to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-08-07 Charlie Hoy , Sarp Akcay , Jake Mac Uilliam , Jonathan E. Thompson

Numerical-relativity surrogate models for both black-hole merger waveforms and remnants have emerged as important tools in gravitational-wave astronomy. While producing very accurate predictions, their applicability is limited to the region…

Fast and accurate waveform models are fundamentally important to modern gravitational wave astrophysics, enabling the study of merging compact objects like black holes and neutron stars. However, generating high-fidelity gravitational…

Parameter estimation for gravitational-wave signals is computationally demanding due to the high dimensionality of the parameter space and the cost of repeated waveform generation in traditional Bayesian inference. These analyses require on…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-03-30 Sama Al-Shammari , Alexandre Göttel , Masaki Iwaya , Vivien Raymond

Gravitational wave detection has opened up new avenues for exploring and understanding some of the fundamental principles of the universe. The optimal method for detecting modelled gravitational-wave events involves template-based matched…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-01-15 Damon Beveridge , Alistair McLeod , Linqing Wen , Andreas Wicenec

Surrogate modeling of eccentric binary black hole waveforms has remained challenging. The complicated morphology of these waveforms due to the eccentric orbital timescale variations makes it difficult to construct accurate and efficient…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-10-03 Akash Maurya , Prayush Kumar , Scott E. Field , Chandra Kant Mishra , Peter James Nee , Kaushik Paul , Harald P. Pfeiffer , Adhrit Ravichandran , Vijay Varma

Gravitational wave astronomy has tremendous potential for studying extreme astrophysical phenomena and exploring fundamental physics. The waves produced by binary black hole mergers will provide a pristine environment in which to study…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-05-28 Neil Cornish , Laura Sampson , Nico Yunes , Frans Pretorius

Fast and accurate waveform models are necessary for measuring the properties of inspiraling binary neutron star systems such as GW170817. We present a frequency-domain surrogate version of the aligned-spin binary neutron star waveform model…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-07-10 Benjamin D. Lackey , Michael Pürrer , Andrea Taracchini , Sylvain Marsat

Parameter estimation of binary-black-hole merger events in gravitational-wave data relies on matched-filtering techniques, which, in turn, depend on accurate model waveforms. Here we characterize the systematic biases introduced in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-05-08 Tyson B. Littenberg , John G. Baker , Alessandra Buonanno , Bernard J. Kelly

Posterior distributions on parameters computed from experimental data using Bayesian techniques are only as accurate as the models used to construct them. In many applications these models are incomplete, which both reduces the prospects of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-23 Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair

Binary black hole (BBH) mergers detected via gravitational waves are addressing key open questions in astrophysics, cosmology, and fundamental physics. Our scientific conclusions rely on extracting accurate source parameters, for which we…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-03-30 Parthapratim Mahapatra , Jonathan E. Thompson , Edward Fauchon-Jones , Mark Hannam

We report on the construction of a deep convolutional neural network that can reproduce the sensitivity of a matched-filtering search for binary black hole gravitational-wave signals. The standard method for the detection of well modeled…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Hunter Gabbard , Michael Williams , Fergus Hayes , Chris Messenger

Numerical relativity (NR) simulations of binary black hole (BBH) systems provide the most accurate gravitational wave predictions, but at a high computational cost -- especially when the black holes have nearly extremal spins (i.e. spins…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-02-15 Marissa Walker , Vijay Varma , Geoffrey Lovelace , Mark A. Scheel

Accurate extractions of the detected gravitational wave (GW) signal waveforms are essential to validate a detection and to probe the astrophysics behind the sources producing the GWs. This however could be difficult in realistic scenarios…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-20 Chayan Chatterjee , Linqing Wen , Foivos Diakogiannis , Kevin Vinsen

Recently, artificial neural networks have been gaining momentum in the field of gravitational wave astronomy, for example in surrogate modelling of computationally expensive waveform models for binary black hole inspiral and merger.…

This paper introduces a surrogate modeling scheme based on Grassmannian manifold learning to be used for cost-efficient predictions of high-dimensional stochastic systems. The method exploits subspace-structured features of each solution by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael D. Shields

We present BHPTNRSur2dq1e3, a reduced order surrogate model of gravitational waves emitted from binary black hole (BBH) systems in the comparable to large mass ratio regime with aligned spin ($\chi_1$) on the heavier mass ($m_1$). We…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-05-19 Katie Rink , Ritesh Bachhar , Tousif Islam , Nur E. M. Rifat , Kevin Gonzalez-Quesada , Scott E. Field , Gaurav Khanna , Scott A. Hughes , Vijay Varma

The recent direct observation of gravitational waves has further emphasized the desire for fast, low-cost, and accurate methods to infer the parameters of gravitational wave sources. Due to expense in waveform generation and data handling,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2017-07-05 Richard O'Shaughnessy , Jonathan Blackman , Scott E. Field

Not being able to understand and predict the behavior of deep learning systems makes it hard to decide what architecture and algorithm to use for a given problem. In science and engineering, modeling is a methodology used to understand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Michael Y. Li , Erin Grant , Thomas L. Griffiths