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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

This paper addresses the synthesis of interval observers for partially unknown nonlinear systems subject to bounded noise, aiming to simultaneously estimate system states and learn a model of the unknown dynamics. Our approach leverages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Mohammad Khajenejad , Zeyuan Jin

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

This paper considers the simultaneous state and unknown input estimation for continuous-discrete stochastic systems. Two types of approaches (with and without modeling of unknown inputs) which can address this issue are investigated. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Peng Lu

There has been remarkable progress over the past decade in establishing finite-sample, non-asymptotic bounds on recovering unknown system parameters from observed system behavior. Surprisingly, however, we show that the current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Yichen Zhou , Stephen Tu

In this article, we complement recent results on the convergence of the state estimate obtained by applying the discrete-time Kalman filter on a time-sampled continuous-time system. As the temporal discretization is refined, the estimate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Atte Aalto

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

In this paper we discuss an application of Stochastic Approximation to statistical estimation of high-dimensional sparse parameters. The proposed solution reduces to resolving a penalized stochastic optimization problem on each stage of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Sasila Ilandarideva , Yannis Bekri , Anatoli Juditsky , Vianney Perchet

Stochastic versions of proximal methods have gained much attention in statistics and machine learning. These algorithms tend to admit simple, scalable forms, and enjoy numerical stability via implicit updates. In this work, we propose and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-09 Haoyu Jiang , Jason Xu

We consider continuous-time sparse stochastic processes from which we have only a finite number of noisy/noiseless samples. Our goal is to estimate the noiseless samples (denoising) and the signal in-between (interpolation problem). By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Arash Amini , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

We study the sample complexity of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) method, which constructs exact, non-asymptotic confidence regions for the true system parameters under mild statistical assumptions, such as independent and symmetric noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In this paper, we investigate when system identification is statistically easy or hard, in the finite sample regime. Statistically easy to learn linear system classes have sample complexity that is polynomial with the system dimension. Most…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-05 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

Stochastic gradient descent procedures have gained popularity for parameter estimation from large data sets. However, their statistical properties are not well understood, in theory. And in practice, avoiding numerical instability requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

This paper introduces a novel parameterization to characterize unknown linear time-invariant systems using noisy data. The presented parameterization describes exactly the set of all systems consistent with the available data. We then…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-15 Felix Brändle , Frank Allgöwer

The classical approach to system identification is based on stochastic assumptions about the measurement error, and provides estimates that have random nature. Worst-case identification, on the other hand, only assumes the knowledge of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-07 Fabrizio Dabbene , Mario Sznaier , Roberto Tempo

Stabilization of linear systems with unknown dynamics is a canonical problem in adaptive control. Since the lack of knowledge of system parameters can cause it to become destabilized, an adaptive stabilization procedure is needed prior to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Describing the evolution of quantum systems by means of non-Hermitian generators opens a new avenue to explore the dynamical properties naturally emerging in such a picture, e.g. operation at the so-called exceptional points, preservation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-01 Javid Naikoo , Ravindra W. Chhajlany , Jan Kolodynski
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