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We study a dynamic game where an expert sends probabilistic forecasts to a decision-maker. The decision-maker verifies these forecasts using a calibration test based on past data. How should the expert send forecasts to maximize her payoff…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-13 Atulya Jain , Vianney Perchet

We study a dynamic Bayesian persuasion model called Markovian persuasion. In such a model, the belief of the receiver regarding the current state of a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geq 1}$, over a finite state space $K$, is controlled through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Dimitry Shaiderman

A sender with private preferences would like to influence a receiver's action by providing information through a statistical test. The technology for information production is controlled by a monopolist intermediary, who offers a menu of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-18 Raphael Boleslavsky , Aaron Kolb

A monopolistic seller aims to sell an indivisible item to multiple potential buyers. Each buyer's valuation depends on their private type and the item's quality. The seller can observe the quality but it is unknown to buyers. This quality…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Zhikang Fan , Weiran Shen

We develop new voting mechanisms for the case when voters and candidates are located in an arbitrary unknown metric space, and the goal is to choose a candidate minimizing social cost: the total distance from the voters to this candidate.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Ben Abramowitz , Elliot Anshelevich , Wennan Zhu

We study the robustness of cheap-talk equilibria to infinitesimal private information of the receiver in a model with a binary state-space and state-independent sender-preferences. We show that the sender-optimal equilibrium is robust if…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-02 Itai Arieli , Ronen Gradwohl , Rann Smorodinsky

We introduce a notion of usable information contained in the representation learned by a deep network, and use it to study how optimal representations for the task emerge during training. We show that the implicit regularization coming from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Michael Kleinman , Alessandro Achille , Daksh Idnani , Jonathan C. Kao

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

Evidence-based decision-making entails collecting (costly) observations about an underlying phenomenon of interest, and subsequently committing to an (informed) decision on the basis of accumulated evidence. In this setting, active sensing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Daniel Jarrett , Mihaela van der Schaar

Two dynamic game forms are said to be behaviorally equivalent if they share the "same" profiles of structurally reduced strategies (Battigalli et al., 2020). In the context of dynamic implementation, behaviorally equivalent game forms are…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-24 Soo Hong Chew , Wenqian Wang

This paper presents an approach for developing the explanation capabilities of rule-based expert systems managing imprecise and uncertain knowledge. The treatment of uncertainty takes place in the framework of possibility theory where the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Henri Farrency , Henri Prade

When selling information products, the seller can provide some free partial information to change people's valuations so that the overall revenue can possibly be increased. We study the general problem of advertising information products by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Shuran Zheng , Yiling Chen

We consider a model of a data broker selling information to a single agent to maximize his revenue. The agent has a private valuation of the additional information, and upon receiving the signal from the data broker, the agent can conduct…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-08 Yingkai Li

We study what changes to an agent's decision problem increase her value for information. We prove that information becomes more valuable if and only if the agent's reduced-form payoff in her belief becomes more convex. When the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-17 Mark Whitmeyer

From a mathematical point of view self-organization can be described as patterns to which certain dynamical systems modeling social dynamics tend spontaneously to be attracted. In this paper we explore situations beyond self-organization,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Marco Caponigro , Massimo Fornasier , Benedetto Piccoli , Emmanuel Trélat

Modern recommendation systems rely on the wisdom of the crowd to learn the optimal course of action. This induces an inherent mis-alignment of incentives between the system's objective to learn (explore) and the individual users' objective…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Gal Bahar , Rann Smorodinsky , Moshe Tennenholtz

We explore the idea of compressing the prompts used to condition language models, and show that compressed prompts can retain a substantive amount of information about the original prompt. For severely compressed prompts, while fine-grained…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-10 David Wingate , Mohammad Shoeybi , Taylor Sorensen

Intelligent behavior in life-like systems often arises from the ability to gather, process, and act on information. While active matter provides a framework for studying life-like dynamics, it typically omits internal information-processing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-02 Kristian Stølevik Olsen , Mitsusuke Tarama , Hartmut Löwen

Bounded agents are limited by intrinsic constraints on their ability to process information that is available in their sensors and memory and choose actions and memory updates. In this dissertation, we model these constraints as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-31 Roy Fox

We study a communication game between a sender and a receiver. The sender chooses one of her signals about the state of the world (i.e., anecdotes) and communicates to the receiver who takes an action affecting both players. The sender and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-19 Nika Haghtalab , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier , Markus Mobius , Divyarthi Mohan
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