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Parameter estimates for associated genetic variants, report ed in the initial discovery samples, are often grossly inflated compared to the values observed in the follow-up replication samples. This type of bias is a consequence of the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

Bayesian data analysis is about more than just computing a posterior distribution, and Bayesian visualization is about more than trace plots of Markov chains. Practical Bayesian data analysis, like all data analysis, is an iterative process…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Jonah Gabry , Daniel Simpson , Aki Vehtari , Michael Betancourt , Andrew Gelman

Mathematical modelling is a widely used approach to understand and interpret clinical trial data. This modelling typically involves fitting mechanistic mathematical models to data from individual trial participants. Despite the widespread…

Mendelian randomization is an instrumental variable method that utilizes genetic information to investigate the causal effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome. In most cases, the exposure changes over time. Understanding the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Haodong Tian , Ashish Patel , Stephen Burgess

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

Mediation analysis aims to separate the indirect effect through mediators from the direct effect of the exposure on the outcome. It is challenging to perform mediation analysis with neuroimaging data which involves high dimensionality,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Yuliang Xu , Timothy D Johnson , Mary Heitzeg , Jian Kang

The two-level normal hierarchical model has played an important role in statistical theory and applications. In this paper, we first introduce a general adjusted maximum likelihood method for estimating the unknown variance component of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

Experimentation is widely utilized for causal inference and data-driven decision-making across disciplines. In an A/B experiment, for example, an online business randomizes two different treatments (e.g., website designs) to their customers…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Wenxuan Guo , JungHo Lee , Panos Toulis

Various methods have been developed to combine inference across multiple sets of results for unsupervised clustering, within the ensemble clustering literature. The approach of reporting results from one `best' model out of several…

We propose a unified, yet simple to code, non-conjugate variational Bayes algorithm for posterior approximation of generic Bayesian generalized mixed effect models. Specifically, we consider regression models identified by a linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Cristian Castiglione , Mauro Bernardi

Bayesian causal discovery benefits from prior information elicited from domain experts, and in heterogeneous domains any prior knowledge would be badly needed. However, so far prior elicitation approaches have assumed a single causal graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Zachris Björkman , Jorge Loría , Sophie Wharrie , Samuel Kaski

Inverse statistical physics aims at inferring models compatible with a set of empirical averages estimated from a high-dimensional dataset of independently distributed equilibrium configurations of a given system. However, in several…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-12 Edwin Rodriguez Horta , Alejandro Lage , Martin Weigt , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix

It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Andrew Gelman , Matthijs Vákár

Compared to mean regression and quantile regression, the literature on modal regression is very sparse. A unifying framework for Bayesian modal regression is proposed, based on a family of unimodal distributions indexed by the mode, along…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Rai Bai

We study the application of the grouped fixed effects approach to binary choice models for panel data in presence of severe complete separation. Through data loss, complete separation may lead to biased estimates of Average Partial Effects…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Claudia Pigini , Alessandro Pionati , Francesco Valentini

We propose a variational Bayesian (VB) approach to learning distributions of latent variables in deep neural network (DNN) models for cross-domain knowledge transfer, to address acoustic mismatches between training and testing conditions.…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-22 Hu Hu , Sabato Marco Siniscalchi , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Chin-Hui Lee

There is significant interest in learning and optimizing a complex system composed of multiple sub-components, where these components may be agents or autonomous sensors. Among the rich literature on this topic, agent-based and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Kai Wang , Bryan Wilder , Sze-chuan Suen , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski
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