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This paper introduces a measure of the diffusion of binary outcomes over a large, sparse network, when the diffusion is observed in two time periods. The measure captures the aggregated spillover effect of the state-switches in the initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Xiaoqi He , Kyungchul Song

The stochastic actor oriented model (SAOM) is a method for modelling social interactions and social behaviour over time. It can be used to model drivers of dynamic interactions using both exogenous covariates and endogenous network…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Giacomo Ceoldo , Tom A. B. Snijders , Ernst C. Wit

The spread of new ideas, behaviors or technologies has been extensively studied using epidemic models. Here we consider a model of diffusion where the individuals' behavior is the result of a strategic choice. We study a simple coordination…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Marc Lelarge

Stochastic actor-oriented models (SAOM) are a broadly applied modelling framework for analysing network dynamics using network panel data. They have been extended to address co-evolution of multiple networks as well as networks and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Johan Koskinen , Tom A. B. Snijders

Longitudinal social network studies can easily suffer from insufficient statistical power. Studies that simultaneously investigate change of network ties and change of nodal attributes (selection and influence studies) are particularly at…

Most research concerning the influence of network structure on phenomena taking place on the network focus on relationships between global statistics of the network structure and characteristic properties of those phenomena, even though…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-07 Tomoyuki Yuasa , Susumu Shirayama

Dynamic models and statistical inference for the diffusion of information in social networks is an area which has witnessed remarkable progress in the last decade due to the proliferation of social networks. Modeling and inference of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Buddhika Nettasinghe

Social networks are an important infrastructure for information, viruses and innovations propagation. Since users behavior has influenced by other users activity, some groups of people would be made regard to similarity of users interests.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-30 Hamidreza Sotoodeh , Farshad Safaei , Arghavan Sanei , Elahe Daei

Recent work has focused attention on statistical inference for the population distribution of the number of sexual partners based on survey data. The characteristics of these distributions are of interest as components of mathematical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark S. Handcock , James Holland Jones , Martina Morris

The influence model is a discrete-time stochastic model that succinctly captures the interactions of a network of Markov chains. The model produces a reduced-order representation of the stochastic network, and can be used to describe and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Chenyuan He , Yan Wan , Frank L. Lewis

How can we model influence between individuals in a social system, even when the network of interactions is unknown? In this article, we review the literature on the "influence model," which utilizes independent time series to estimate how…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Wei Pan , Manuel Cebrian , Wen Dong , Taemie Kim , James Fowler , Alex Pentland

We model two time and space scales discrete observations by using a unique continuous diffusion process with time dependent coefficient. We define new parameters for the large scale model as functions of the small scale distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-09 V. Calian , G. Stefansson , L. P. Folkow , A. S. Blix

Diffusion models are a class of generative models that serve to establish a stochastic transport map between an empirically observed, yet unknown, target distribution and a known prior. Despite their remarkable success in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Puheng Li , Zhong Li , Huishuai Zhang , Jiang Bian

Evaluating the impact of policy interventions on respondents who are embedded in a social network is often challenging due to the presence of network interference within the treatment groups, as well as between treatment and non-treatment…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Eugene Ang , Prasanta Bhattacharya , Andrew Lim

Stochastic spreading models defined on complex network topologies are used to mimic the diffusion of diseases, information, and opinions in real-world systems. Existing theoretical approaches to the characterization of the models in terms…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-15 Dario Mazzilli , Filippo Radicchi

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

We simulate a spatial behavioral model of the diffusion of an infection to understand the role of geographic characteristics: the number and distribution of outbreaks, population size, density, and agents' movements. We show that several…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful learners for simulation-based inference (SBI), enabling fast and accurate estimation of latent parameters from simulated and real data. Their score-based formulation offers a flexible way…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Jonas Arruda , Niels Bracher , Ullrich Köthe , Jan Hasenauer , Stefan T. Radev

We study how international flights can facilitate the spread of an epidemic to a worldwide scale. We combine an infrastructure network of flight connections with a population density dataset to derive the mobility network, and then we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Hugo Dolan , Riccardo Rastelli
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