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This text presents an unified approach of probability and statistics in the pursuit of understanding and computation of randomness in engineering or physical or social system with prediction with generalizability. Starting from elementary…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Lakshman Mahto

We explain and explore class-theoretic potentialism -- the view that one can always individuate more classes over a set-theoretic universe. We examine some motivations for class-theoretic potentialism, before proving some results concerning…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Neil Barton , Kameryn J. Williams

This paper examines the foundational concept of random variables in probability theory and statistical inference, demonstrating that their mathematical definition requires no reference to randomization or hypothetical repeated sampling. We…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-02-11 Paul W. Vos

The probability behavior in the m+1 relativistic space-time is considered. The probability, which is defined by the relativistic m+1-vector of the probability density, is investigated.

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gunn A. Quznetsov

Prediction is a complex notion, and different predictors (such as people, computer programs, and probabilistic theories) can pursue very different goals. In this paper I will review some popular kinds of prediction and argue that the theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

This paper is motivated by the questions of how to give the concept of probability an adequate real-world meaning, and how to explain a certain type of phenomenon that can be found, for instance, in Ellsberg's paradox. It attempts to answer…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-03-25 Russell J. Bowater

Physicists have, hitherto, mostly adopted a frequentist conception of probability, according to which probability statements apply only to ensembles. It is argued that we should, instead, adopt an epistemic, or Bayesian conception, in which…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 D. M. Appleby

The multiverse view in set theory, introduced and argued for in this article, is the view that there are many distinct concepts of set, each instantiated in a corresponding set-theoretic universe. The universe view, in contrast, asserts…

Logic · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Joel David Hamkins

In this paper, we develop a general theory on the coverage probability of random intervals defined in terms of discrete random variables with continuous parameter spaces. The theory shows that the minimum coverage probabilities of random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-12 Xinjia Chen

Here I discuss ideas that makes a synthesis of topology and probability theory. The idea is the following: given a set $X$, assign a number $p(A)\in [0,1]$ for any subset $A$ of $X$. We can interpret $p(A)$ as the probability of openness of…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Yuli B. Rudyak

In the report the approach to estimation of quality of planned experiments is considered. This approach is based on the analysis of uncertainty, which will take place under the future hypotheses testing about the existence of a new…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov

We analyze the notion that physical theories are quantitative and testable by observations in experiments. This leads us to propose a new, Bayesian, interpretation of probabilities in physics that unifies their current use in classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Francis G. Perey

The notion of equality between two observables will play many important roles in foundations of quantum theory. However, the standard probabilistic interpretation based on the conventional Born formula does not give the probability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-31 Masanao Ozawa

The development of science and technology has progressively demonstrated the ability of humankind to understand and manipulate the physical world, and it has also shown some fundamental limitations to predictability of physical events. This…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-06-03 Ezequiel López-Rubio

The notion of equality between two observables will play many important roles in foundations of quantum theory. However, the standard probabilistic interpretation based on the conventional Born formula does not give the probability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-04 Masanao Ozawa

Subjective probability is based on the intuitive idea that probability quantifies the degree of belief that an event will occur. A probability theory based on this idea represents the most general framework for handling uncertainty. A brief…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 G. D'Agostini

The aim of this article is to promote the use of probabilistic methods in the study of problems in mathematical general relativity. Two new and simple singularity theorems, whose features are different from the classical singularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-21 Ismael Bailleul

The probability that the commutator of two group elements is equal to a given element has been introduced in literature few years ago. Several authors have investigated this notion with methods of the representation theory and with…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Ahmad M. A. Alghamdi , Francesco G. Russo

The notion of objective probability or chance, as a physical trait of the world, has proved elusive; the identification of chances with actual frequencies does not succeed. An adequate theory of chance should explain not only the connection…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-16 Simon Saunders

According to quantum theory, randomness is a fundamental property of the universe yet classical physics is mostly deterministic. In this article I show that it is possible for deterministic systems to arise from random ones and discuss the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-03-07 Ian T. Durham