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We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

We introduce a multivariate multidimensional mixed-effects regression model in a finite mixture framework. We relax the usual unidimensionality assumption on the random effects multivariate distribution. Thus, we introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-20 Alessandra Marcelletti , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanni Trovato

Penalized likelihood approaches are widely used for high-dimensional regression. Although many methods have been proposed and the associated theory is now well-developed, the relative efficacy of different approaches in finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-29 Fan Wang , Sach Mukherjee , Sylvia Richardson , Steven M. Hill

The empirical literature on the relationship between income inequality and economic growth has produced highly heterogeneous and often conflicting results. This paper investigates the sources of this heterogeneity using a meta-analytic…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Lisa Capretti , Lorenzo Tonni

We develop a Bayesian non-parametric quantile panel regression model. Within each quantile, the response function is a convex combination of a linear model and a non-linear function, which we approximate using Bayesian Additive Regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-08 Todd E. Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer

This paper studies macroeconomic forecasting and variable selection using a folded-concave penalized regression with a very large number of predictors. The penalized regression approach leads to sparse estimates of the regression…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-07 Yoshimasa Uematsu , Shinya Tanaka

The integration of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries into the European Economic Area serves as a valuable experiment for the regional economic development theory. The long-lasting convergence of these economies with more advanced…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-07 Lesya Kolinets , Vygintas Gontis

This paper introduces unit-specific heterogeneity in panel data threshold regression. We develop the asymptotic theory for models with heterogeneous thresholds, heterogeneous slope coefficients, and interactive fixed effects. The estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Marco Barassi , Yiannis Karavias , Chongxian Zhu

This paper provides the relevant literature with a complete toolkit for conducting robust estimation and inference about the parameters of interest involved in a high-dimensional panel data framework. Specifically, (1) we allow for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-13 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

Large observational data are increasingly available in disciplines such as health, economic and social sciences, where researchers are interested in causal questions rather than prediction. In this paper, we examine the problem of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-24 Alberto Caron , Gianluca Baio , Ioanna Manolopoulou

Hierarchical panel data models have recently garnered significant attention. This study contributes to the relevant literature by introducing a novel three-dimensional (3D) hierarchical panel data model, which integrates panel regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-13 Guohua Feng , Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng

Accurate estimation for extent of cross{sectional dependence in large panel data analysis is paramount to further statistical analysis on the data under study. Grouping more data with weak relations (cross{sectional dependence) together…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-16 Jiti Gao , Guangming Pan , Yanrong Yang , Bo Zhang

This paper explores the estimation of a panel data model with cross-sectional interaction that is flexible both in its approach to specifying the network of connections between cross-sectional units, and in controlling for unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Ayden Higgins , Federico Martellosio

In this chapter we discuss conceptually high dimensional sparse econometric models as well as estimation of these models using L1-penalization and post-L1-penalization methods. Focusing on linear and nonparametric regression frameworks, we…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov

We consider estimation and inference in panel data models with additive unobserved individual specific heterogeneity in a high dimensional setting. The setting allows the number of time varying regressors to be larger than the sample size.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Damian Kozbur

I study linear panel data models with predetermined regressors (such as lagged dependent variables) where coefficients are individual-specific, allowing for heterogeneity in the effects of the regressors on the dependent variable. I show…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-27 Wooyong Lee

Aggregate shocks affect most households' and firms' decisions. Using three stylized models we show that inference based on cross-sectional data alone generally fails to correctly account for decision making of rational agents facing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-28 Jinyong Hahn , Guido Kuersteiner , Maurizio Mazzocco

We develop a model-based empirical Bayes approach to variable selection problems in which the number of predictors is very large, possibly much larger than the number of responses (the so-called 'large p, small n' problem). We consider the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-14 Haim Y. Bar , James G. Booth , Martin T. Wells

Panel data analysis is an important topic in statistics and econometrics. Traditionally, in panel data analysis, all individuals are assumed to share the same unknown parameters, e.g. the same coefficients of covariates when the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Heng Lian , Xinghao Qiao , Wenyang Zhang

Most models that try to explain economic growth indicate exponential growth paths. In recent years, however, a lively discussion has emerged considering the validity of this notion. In the empirical literature dealing with drivers of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-06 Steffen Lange , Peter Pütz , Thomas Kopp
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