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Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

This paper investigates the comparative performance of two fundamental approaches to solving linear regression problems: the closed-form Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse and the iterative gradient descent method. Linear regression is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Alex Adams

The doubly-robust (DR) estimator is popular for evaluating causal effects in observational studies and is often perceived as more desirable than inverse probability weighting (IPW) or outcome modeling alone because it provides extra…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Chengxin Yang , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

While it is commonly observed in practice that pruning networks to a certain level of sparsity can improve the quality of the features, a theoretical explanation of this phenomenon remains elusive. In this work, we investigate this by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Nuri Mert Vural , Murat A. Erdogdu

This paper investigates the finite-sample prediction risk of the high-dimensional least squares estimator. We derive the central limit theorem for the prediction risk when both the sample size and the number of features tend to infinity.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Zeng Li , Chuanlong Xie , Qinwen Wang

The key concepts (calibration, discrimination, and discordance) important in understanding and comparing risk models are best conveyed graphically. To illustrate this, models predicting death and acute kidney injury in a large cohort of PCI…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-21 Ralph H. Stern , Dean E. Smith , Hitinder S. Gurm

Temporal Difference (TD) algorithms are widely used in Deep Reinforcement Learning (RL). Their performance is heavily influenced by the size of the neural network. While in supervised learning, the regime of over-parameterization and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 David Brellmann , Eloïse Berthier , David Filliat , Goran Frehse

We study the problem of finding the best linear model that can minimize least-squares loss given a data-set. While this problem is trivial in the low dimensional regime, it becomes more interesting in high dimensions where the population…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Yahya Sattar , Samet Oymak

Backpropagation with gradient descent is a common optimization strategy employed by most neural network architectures in machine learning. However, finding optimal hyperparameters to guide training has proven challenging. While it is widely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Vy Bui , Hang Yu , Karthik Kantipudi , Ziv Yaniv , Stefan Jaeger

Breakthroughs in machine learning are rapidly changing science and society, yet our fundamental understanding of this technology has lagged far behind. Indeed, one of the central tenets of the field, the bias-variance trade-off, appears to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Siyuan Ma , Soumik Mandal

We provide an improved analysis of standard differentially private gradient descent for linear regression under the squared error loss. Under modest assumptions on the input, we characterize the distribution of the iterate at each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Gavin Brown , Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Georgina Evans , Daogao Liu , Adam Smith , Abhradeep Thakurta

This paper generalizes results concerning strong convexity of two-stage mean-risk models with linear recourse to distortion risk measures. Introducing the concept of (restricted) partial strong convexity, we conduct an in-depth analysis of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-20 Matthias Claus , Kai Spürkel

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

Motivated by recently emerging problems in machine learning and statistics, we propose data models which relax the familiar i.i.d. assumption. In essence, we seek to understand what it means for data to come from a set of probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson

Double-descent refers to the unexpected drop in test loss of a learning algorithm beyond an interpolating threshold with over-parameterization, which is not predicted by information criteria in their classical forms due to the limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Haobo Chen , Yuheng Bu , Gregory W. Wornell

In this paper we introduce a generalization of classical risk measures in which the risk is represented by a step function taking two values, corresponding to two endogenously determined market regimes. This extends the traditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Mihaela-Adriana Nistor , Ionel Popescu

Mixup is a data augmentation technique that relies on training using random convex combinations of data points and their labels. In recent years, Mixup has become a standard primitive used in the training of state-of-the-art image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Muthu Chidambaram , Xiang Wang , Chenwei Wu , Rong Ge

The idea of slicing divergences has been proven to be successful when comparing two probability measures in various machine learning applications including generative modeling, and consists in computing the expected value of a `base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Kimia Nadjahi , Alain Durmus , Lénaïc Chizat , Soheil Kolouri , Shahin Shahrampour , Umut Şimşekli

Optimization plays a key role in the training of deep neural networks. Deciding when to stop training can have a substantial impact on the performance of the network during inference. Under certain conditions, the generalization error can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Florian Dubost , Erin Hong , Max Pike , Siddharth Sharma , Siyi Tang , Nandita Bhaskhar , Christopher Lee-Messer , Daniel Rubin

When developing risk prediction models, shrinkage methods are recommended, especially when the sample size is limited. Several earlier studies have shown that the shrinkage of model coefficients can reduce overfitting of the prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-29 Ben Van Calster , Maarten van Smeden , Ewout W. Steyerberg