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We propose a generative model and an inference scheme for epidemic processes on dynamic, adaptive contact networks. Network evolution is formulated as a link-Markovian process, which is then coupled to an individual-level stochastic SIR…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Jason Xu , Alexander Volfovsky

Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We study vaccine control for disease spread on an adaptive network modeling disease avoidance behavior. Control is implemented by adding Poisson distributed vaccination of susceptibles. We show that vaccine control is much more effective in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

Effective strategies of vaccine prioritization are essential to mitigate the impacts of severe infectious diseases. We investigate the role of infection fatality ratio (IFR) and social contact matrices on vaccination prioritization using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Arthur Schulenburg , Wesley Cota , Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

In the present work the spread of epidemic is studied over complex networks which are characterized by power law degree distribution of links and heterogeneous rate of disease transmission. The random allocation of epidemic transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-19 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao

A new method (`explosive immunization' (EI)) is proposed for immunization and targeted destruction of networks. It combines the explosive percolation (EP) paradigm with the idea of maintaining a fragmented distribution of clusters. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-16 Pau Clusella , Peter Grassberger , Francisco J. Perez-Reche , Antonio Politi

Network science has increasingly become central to the field of epidemiology and our ability to respond to infectious disease threats. However, many networks derived from modern datasets are not just large, but dense, with a high ratio of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-11 Alexander M. Mercier , Samuel V. Scarpino , Cristopher Moore

We develop semiparametric methods for estimating subgroup-specific relative vaccine efficacy against multiple viral strains in a partially vaccinated population. Focusing on observational case-only studies, we address informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Lars van der Laan , Peter B. Gilbert

Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-14 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Mikhail Prokopenko

Recent advances in data collection have facilitated the access to time-resolved human proximity data that can conveniently be represented as temporal networks of contacts between individuals. While this type of data is fundamental to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-01 Anna Sapienza , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto , Laetitia Gauvin

An insufficient supply of effective SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in most countries demands an effective vaccination strategy to minimize the damage caused by the disease. Currently, many countries vaccinate their population in descending order of age…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-28 Bukyoung Jhun , Hoyun Choi

In this paper, we investigate two major immunization strategies, random immunization and targeted immunization, of the susceptible-infected (SI) Model on the Barab\'{a}si-Albert (BA) networks. For the heterogenous structure, the random…

Biological Physics · Physics 2011-11-09 Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

Network immunization is an automated task in the field of network analysis that involves protecting a network (modeled as a graph) from being infected by an undesired arbitrary diffusion. In this article, we consider the spread of harmful…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Elena-Simona Apostol , Özgur Coban , Ciprian-Octavian Truică

In network epidemic models, controlling the spread of a disease often requires targeted interventions such as vaccinating high-risk individuals based on network structure. However, typical approaches assume complete knowledge of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Anirudh Sridhar , Arnob Ghosh

We present a method that uses ensemble learning to combine clinical and web-mined time-series data in order to predict future vaccination uptake. The clinical data is official vaccination registries, and the web data is query frequencies…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-10-02 Niels Dalum Hansen , Christina Lioma , Kåre Mølbak

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

We investigate how the properties of epidemic networks change depending on the availability of different types of data on a disease outbreak. This is achieved by introducing mathematical and computational methods that estimate the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Oscar Fajardo-Fontiveros , Carl J. E. Suster , Eduardo G. Altmann

Most researches on adaptive networks mainly concentrate on the properties of steady state, but neglect transient dynamics. In this study, we pay attention to the emergence of community structures in transient process and the effects of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Hui Yang , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang

We model information dissemination as a susceptible-infected epidemic process and formulate a problem to jointly optimize seeds for the epidemic and time varying resource allocation over the period of a fixed duration campaign running on a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-29 Kundan Kandhway , Joy Kuri
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