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We obtain an approximate Gaussian distribution from a Poisson distribution after doing a change of variable. A new chi-square function is obtained which can be used for parameter estimations and goodness-of-fit testing when adjusting curves…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 F. M. L. Almeida , M. Barbi , M. A. B. do Vale

Applying the standard weighted mean formula, [sum_i {n_i sigma^{-2}_i}] / [sum_i {sigma^{-2}_i}], to determine the weighted mean of data, n_i, drawn from a Poisson distribution, will, on average, underestimate the true mean by ~1 for all…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kenneth J. Mighell

[ABRIDGED] The Cash statistic, also known as the C stat, is commonly used for the analysis of low-count Poisson data, including data with null counts for certain values of the independent variable. The use of this statistic is especially…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Massimiliano Bonamente , David Spence

Straightforward methods for adapting the familiar chi^2 statistic to histograms of discrete events and other Poisson distributed data generally yield biased estimates of the parameters of a model. The bias can be important even when the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-12 Joseph W. Fowler

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Bayesian Poisson probability distributions for the average n can be analytically converted into equivalent chi-squared distributions. These can then be combined with other Gaussian or Bayesian Poisson distributions to make a total…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Dennis Silverman

I investigate the use of Pearson's chi-square statistic, the Maximum Likelihood Ratio statistic for Poisson distributions, and the chi-square-gamma statistic (Mighell 1999, ApJ, 518, 380) for the determination of the goodness-of-fit between…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kenneth J. Mighell

The Poisson equation is commonly encountered in engineering, for instance in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) where it is needed to compute corrections to the pressure field to ensure the incompressibility of the velocity field. In the…

We demonstrate that two approximations to the chi^2 statistic as popularly employed by observational astronomers for fitting Poisson-distributed data can give rise to intrinsically biased model parameter estimates, even in the high counts…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Philip J. Humphrey , Wenhao Liu , David A. Buote

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

In this article, we provide an extension of the Chen-Stein inequality for Poisson approximation in the total variation distance for sums of independent Bernoulli random variables in two ways. We prove that we can improve the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali , Gabriele Visentin

Pearson's chi-squared test, from 1900, is the standard statistical tool for "hypothesis testing on distributions": namely, given samples from an unknown distribution $Q$ that may or may not equal a hypothesis distribution $P$, we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Trung Dang , Walter McKelvie , Paul Valiant , Hongao Wang

The main purpose of the paper is to investigate the possibility of applying Chen-Stein approach to estimate the $\chi^2$ distance between Poisson distribution and a sum of independent indicators. Earlier results concerning $\chi^2$ distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Vytas Zacharovas

This paper presents a new method to estimate systematic errors in the maximum-likelihood regression of count data. The method is applicable in particular to X-ray spectra in situations where the Poisson log-likelihood, or the Cash…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-03 M. Bonamente

The 'standard' confidence interval for a Poisson parameter is only one of a number of estimation intervals based on the chi-square distribution that may be used in the estimation of the mean or mean rate for a Poisson model. Other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-07 E. A. Maxwell

Least-squares fits are an important tool in many data analysis applications. In this paper, we review theoretical results, which are relevant for their application to data from counting experiments. Using a simple example, we illustrate the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-07 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling , Roland Waldi

The problem of fitting experimental data to a given model function $f(t; p_1,p_2,\dots,p_N)$ is conventionally solved numerically by methods such as that of Levenberg-Marquardt, which are based on approximating the Chi-squared measure of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Alberto Herrera-Gomez , R. Michael Porter

For testing goodness of fit it is very popular to use either the chi square statistic or G statistics (information divergence). Asymptotically both are chi square distributed so an obvious question is which of the two statistics that has a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Peter Harremoës , Gábor Tusnády

A new approach to Poisson approximation is proposed. The basic idea is very simple and based on properties of the Charlier polynomials and the Parseval identity. Such an approach quickly leads to new effective bounds for several Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-29 Vytas Zacharovas , Hsien-Kuei Hwang
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