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Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Foundation models have achieved remarkable success across diverse machine-learning domains through large-scale pretraining on large, diverse datasets. However, pretraining on such datasets introduces significant challenges due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Peiliang Gong , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Zhenghua Chen , Xiaoli Li , Daoqiang Zhang

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Predicting flight trajectories is a research area that holds significant merit. In this paper, we propose a data-driven learning framework, that leverages the predictive and feature extraction capabilities of the mixture models and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Jun Xiang , Jun Chen

Most algorithms for decentralized learning employ a consensus or diffusion mechanism to drive agents to a common solution of a global optimization problem. Generally this takes the form of linear averaging, at a rate of contraction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Aaron Fainman , Stefan Vlaski

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Learning complex time series forecasting models usually requires a large amount of data, as each model is trained from scratch for each task/data set. Leveraging learning experience with similar datasets is a well-established technique for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Lukas Brinkmeyer , Rafael Rego Drumond , Johannes Burchert , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

We address a three-tier numerical framework based on manifold learning for the forecasting of high-dimensional time series. At the first step, we embed the time series into a reduced low-dimensional space using a nonlinear manifold learning…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Panagiotis Papaioannou , Ronen Talmon , Ioannis Kevrekidis , Constantinos Siettos

Deep Learning has been successfully applied to many application domains, yet its advantages have been slow to emerge for time series forecasting. For example, in the well-known Makridakis (M) Competitions, hybrids of traditional statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-26 John A. Miller , Mohammed Aldosari , Farah Saeed , Nasid Habib Barna , Subas Rana , I. Budak Arpinar , Ninghao Liu

In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting using quantum machine learning techniques. We introduce adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models, traditionally limited to…

Modern communication systems rely on accurate channel estimation to achieve efficient and reliable transmission of information. As the communication channel response is highly related to the user's location, one can use a neural network to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Baptiste Chatelier , Luc Le Magoarou , Vincent Corlay , Matthieu Crussière

Artificial Neural Network Model for prediction of time-series data is revisited on analysis of the Indonesian stock-exchange data. We introduce the use of Multi-Layer Perceptron to percept the modified Poincare-map of the given financial…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Hokky Situngkir , Yohanes Surya

In a multi objective setting, a portfolio manager's highly consequential decisions can benefit from assessing alternative forecasting models of stock index movement. The present investigation proposes a new approach to identify a set of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Faizal Hafiz , Jan Broekaert , Davide La Torre , Akshya Swain

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

We present a method for conditional time series forecasting based on an adaptation of the recent deep convolutional WaveNet architecture. The proposed network contains stacks of dilated convolutions that allow it to access a broad range of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-18 Anastasia Borovykh , Sander Bohte , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

In applications of dynamical systems, situations can arise where it is desired to predict the onset of synchronization as it can lead to characteristic and significant changes in the system performance and behaviors, for better or worse. In…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-30 Huawei Fan , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai , Xingang Wang

Inflation is a major determinant for allocation decisions and its forecast is a fundamental aim of governments and central banks. However, forecasting inflation is not a trivial task, as its prediction relies on low frequency, highly…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-30 Maximilian Tschuchnig , Petra Tschuchnig , Cornelia Ferner , Michael Gadermayr

Traditionally, neural networks have been employed to learn the mapping between finite-dimensional Euclidean spaces. However, recent research has opened up new horizons, focusing on the utilization of deep neural networks to learn operators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Somdatta Goswami , Dimitris G. Giovanis , Bowei Li , Seymour M. J. Spence , Michael D. Shields

Probabilistic time-series models become popular in the forecasting field as they help to make optimal decisions under uncertainty. Despite the growing interest, a lack of thorough analysis hinders choosing what is worth applying for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Seungjae Jung , Kyung-Min Kim , Hanock Kwak , Young-Jin Park
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