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The German Tank Problem dates back to World War II when the Allies used a statistical approach to estimate the number of enemy tanks produced or on the field from observed serial numbers after battles. Assuming that the tanks are labeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Anthony Lee , Steven J. Miller

During World War II the German army used tanks to devastating advantage. The Allies needed accurate estimates of their tank production and deployment. They used two approaches to find these values: spies, and statistics. This note describes…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-01-22 George Clark , Alex Gonye , Steven J Miller

In this paper, a non-linear Lanchester-type model involving supply units is introduced. The model describes a battle where the Blue party consisting of one armed force $B$ is fighting against the Red party. The Red party consists of $n$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Nguyen Hong Nam , Vu Anh My , Ta Ngoc Anh , Hy Duc Manh , Do Anh Tuan

The German tank problem has an interesting historical background and is an engaging problem of statistical estimation for the classroom. The objective is to estimate the size of a population of tanks inscribed with sequential serial…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-09-26 Cory M. Simon

Clustering methods such as k-means have found widespread use in a variety of applications. This paper proposes a formal testing procedure to determine whether a null hypothesis of a single cluster, indicating homogeneity of the data, can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-18 Andrew J. Patton , Brian M. Weller

We consider the problem of solving a large-scale system of linear equations in a distributed or federated manner by a taskmaster and a set of machines, each possessing a subset of the equations. We provide a comprehensive comparison of two…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Boris Velasevic , Rohit Parasnis , Christopher G. Brinton , Navid Azizan

Stochastic kriging is a popular metamodeling technique for representing the unknown response surface of a simulation model. However, the simulation model may be inadequate in the sense that there may be a non-negligible discrepancy between…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Lu Zou , Xiaowei Zhang

This paper is motivated by a computer experiment conducted for optimizing residual stresses in the machining of metals. Although kriging is widely used in the analysis of computer experiments, it cannot be easily applied to model the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-08 Ying Hung , V. Roshan Joseph , Shreyes N. Melkote

Assessing how adequate clusters fit a dataset and finding an optimum number of clusters is a difficult process. A membership matrix and the degree of membership matrix is suggested to determine the homogeneity of a cluster fit. Maximisation…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-29 J W G Addy , J Langhorne

It is proposed to revisit the inverse problem associated with Smoluchowski's coagulation equation. The objective is to reconstruct the functional form of the collision kernel from observations of the time evolution of the cluster size…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Colm Connaughton , Peter P. Jones

Survival analysis studies time-modeling techniques for an event of interest occurring for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences. However, the data needed to train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Alberto Archetti , Eugenio Lomurno , Francesco Lattari , André Martin , Matteo Matteucci

This study applies a range of forecasting techniques,including ARIMA, Prophet, Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTM), Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN), and XGBoost, to model and predict Russian equipment losses during the ongoing war…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Jonathan Teagan

Lanchester's model of combat has certain deficiencies in its standard form arising from the neglect of the influence of random fluctuations. Several approaches to rectify this have been proposed and various results are scattered throughout…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-09 Michael J. Kearney , Richard J. Martin

The area of fault detection is becoming more interesting since there have been many unique designs to detect or even compensate the faults, either from sensor or actuator. This paper applies the hydraulic system with interconnected tanks by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Moh Kamalul Wafi

Adversarial Training is proved to be an efficient method to defend against adversarial examples, being one of the few defenses that withstand strong attacks. However, traditional defense mechanisms assume a uniform attack over the examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Huimin Zeng , Chen Zhu , Tom Goldstein , Furong Huang

In this paper, we present novel variations of an earlier approach called homogeneous clustering algorithm for reducing dataset size. The intuition behind the approaches proposed in this paper is to partition the dataset into homogeneous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Shril Mody , Janvi Thakkar , Devvrat Joshi , Siddharth Soni , Rohan Patil , Nipun Batra

We use a suitable version of the so-called "kernel trick" to devise two-sample (homogeneity) tests, especially focussed on high-dimensional and functional data. Our proposal entails a simplification related to the important practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Javier Cárcamo , Antonio Cuevas , Luis-Alberto Rodríguez

Development of resistance limits transferability of most anticancer therapies into curative treatment and understanding mechanisms beyond it remains a big challenge. Many high resolution experimental observations show enormous intratumor…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-03 B. Brutovsky , D. Horvath

Identifying a set of homogeneous clusters in a heterogeneous dataset is one of the most important classes of problems in statistical modeling. In the realm of unsupervised partitional clustering, k-means is a very important algorithm for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-23 J. Andrew Howe

A new approach to defining the effective fracture toughness for heterogeneous materials is proposed. This temporal averaging approach is process-dependent, incorporating the crack velocity and material toughness. The effectiveness of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-14 Gaspare Da Fies , Daniel Peck , Martin Dutko , Gennady Mishuris
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