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Gaussian Processes (GP) have become popular machine-learning methods for kernel-based learning on datasets with complicated covariance structures. In this paper, we present a novel extension to the GP framework using a contaminated normal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Daniel Iong , Matthew McAnear , Yuezhou Qu , Shasha Zou , Gabor Toth , Yang Chen

Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Brecht Laperre , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta

GPS-derived ZTD (Zenith Tropospheric Delay) plays a key role in near real-time weather forecasting, especially in improving the precision of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models. The ZTD is usually estimated using the first-order…

Space Physics · Physics 2010-10-12 Shuanggen Jin , J. Wang

Gravitational wave (GW) detection is now commonplace and as the sensitivity of the global network of GW detectors improves, we will observe $\mathcal{O}(100)$s of transient GW events per year. The current methods used to estimate their…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-21 Hunter Gabbard , Chris Messenger , Ik Siong Heng , Francesco Tonolini , Roderick Murray-Smith

A new detection method for gravitational waves (GWs) with ultra-low frequencies ($f_{\rm GW} \lesssim 10^{-10}~{\rm Hz}$), which is much lower than the range of pulsar timing arrays (PTAs), was proposed in Yonemaru et al. (2016). This…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-05-29 Shinnosuke Hisano , Naoyuki Yonemaru , Hiroki Kumamoto , Keitaro Takahashi

Robust aiding of inertial navigation systems in GNSS-denied environments is critical for the removal of accumulated navigation error caused by the drift and bias inherent in inertial sensors. One way to perform such an aiding uses matching…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Xuezhi Wang , Christopher Gilliam , Allison Kealy , John Close , Bill Moran

The properties of gravitational-wave (GW) propagation are modified in alternative theories of gravity and are crucial observables to test gravity at cosmological distance. The propagation speed has already been measured from GW170817 so…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-05-22 Atsushi Nishizawa , Shun Arai

We propose an innovative meteorological radar, which uses reduced number of spatiotemporal samples without compromising the accuracy of target information. Our approach extends recent research on compressed sensing (CS) for radar remote…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-16 Kumar Vijay Mishra , Anton Kruger , Witold F. Krajewski

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) are essential tools for detecting the stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB), but their analysis faces significant computational challenges. Traditional methods like Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-30 Bo Liang , Chang Liu , Tianyu Zhao , Minghui Du , Manjia Liang , Ruijun Shi , Hong Guo , Yuxiang Xu , Li-e Qiang , Peng Xu , Wei-Liang Qian , Ziren Luo

In order to describe more accurately the time relationships between daily satellite imagery time series of precipitation and NDVI we propose an estimator which takes into account the sparsity naturally observed in precipitation. We…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-14 Inder Tecuapetla-Gómez

Numerical weather forecasts can exhibit systematic errors due to simplifying model assumptions and computational approximations. Statistical postprocessing is a statistical approach to correcting such biases. A statistical postprocessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Stefan Siegert , Ben Hooper , Joshua Lovegrove , Tyler Thomson , Birgir Hrafnkelsson

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is needed for the rapid development and efficient operation of wind energy resources. This is, however, a very challenging problem. Although on the large scale, the wind speed is related to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-08 Xinxin Zhu , Kenneth P. Bowman , Marc G. Genton

Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-02 Avner Abrami , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Younghun Kim

The purpose of this study is to perform verification of the structural characteristics of high-resolution spatial forecasts without relying on an object identification algorithm. To this end, a wavelet approach developed for image texture…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-24 Florian Kapp , Petra Friederichs , Sebastian Brune , Michael Weniger

We propose a Standing Wave Decomposition (SWD) approximation to Gaussian Process regression (GP). GP involves a costly matrix inversion operation, which limits applicability to large data analysis. For an input space that can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-19 Chi-Ken Lu , Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Patrick Shafto

Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) are integrated into many devices. However, civilian GNSS signals are usually not cryptographically protected. This makes attacks that forge signals relatively easy. Considering modern devices often…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Wenjie Liu , Panos Papadimitratos

Satellite remote sensing has been reported to be a promising approach for the monitoring of atmospheric PM2.5. However, the satellite-based monitoring of ground-level PM2.5 is still challenging. First, the previously used polar-orbiting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-30 Tongwen Li , Chengyue Zhang , Huanfeng Shen , Qiangqiang Yuan , Liangpei Zhang

We perform a state-of-the-art study of the cosmological phase transitions of the real-scalar extended Standard Model. We carry out a broad scan of the parameter space of this model at next-to-next-to-leading order in powers of couplings. We…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-11-15 Oliver Gould , Paul Saffin