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In the light of the need to achieve a ranking which is understood by all tennis supporters, the ATP ranking is exposed to constant complaints from players and at the same time exposes new players to be benefited with a good tournament to be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Alex Aronson

From the viewpoint of networks, a ranking system for players or teams in sports is equivalent to a centrality measure for sports networks, whereby a directed link represents the result of a single game. Previously proposed network-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-07 Shun Motegi , Naoki Masuda

The Bradley-Terry model is widely used for the analysis of pairwise comparison data and, in essence, produces a ranking of the items under comparison. We embed the Bradley-Terry model within a stochastic block model, allowing items to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Lapo Santi , Nial Friel

In the 2023 Wimbledon Gentlemen's final, Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djokovic. This study aims to predict athletes' performance through five key aspects: first, a mul-ti-classification model based on logistic regression was established,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-11 Chuangqi Li

Tennis is one of the world's biggest and most popular sports. Multiple researchers have, with limited success, modeled the outcome of matches using probability modelling or machine learning approaches. The approach presented here predicts…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-09 Martin Illum , Hans Christian Bechsøfft Mikkelsen , Emil Hovad

Individual sports competitions provide a natural setting for examining the relative importance of talent and luck/chance in achieving success. The belief that success is primarily due to individual abilities and hard work rather than…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-14 Chiara Zappalá , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

The spread in the use of tracking systems in sport has made fine-grained spatiotemporal analysis a primary focus of an emerging sports analytics industry. Recently publicized tracking data for men's professional tennis allows for the first…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Stephanie A. Kovalchik , Jim Albert

This paper discusses match result prediction ability of ATP ranking points, which is official ranking points for men's professional tennis players. The structure of overall ATP World Tour and the ranking point attribution system leads that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-18 Eiji Konaka

Who are the most significant players in the history of men tennis? Is the official ATP ranking system fair in evaluating players scores? Which players deserved the most contemplation looking at their match records? Which players have never…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-24 Umberto Michieli

PageRank and the Bradley-Terry model are competing approaches to ranking entities such as teams in sports tournaments or journals in citation networks. The Bradley-Terry model is a classical statistical method for ranking based on paired…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 David Antony Selby

Success in sports is a complex phenomenon that has only garnered limited research attention. In particular, we lack a deep scientific understanding of success in sports like tennis and the factors that contribute to it. Here, we study the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-11 Chiara Zappalà , Sandro Sousa , Tiago Cunha , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Roberta Sinatra

Pairwise comparison is an important tool in multi-attribute decision making. Pairwise comparison matrices (PCM) have been applied for ranking criteria and for scoring alternatives according to a given criterion. Our paper presents a special…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Sándor Bozóki , László Csató , József Temesi

We consider the problem of ranking $n$ players from partial pairwise comparison data under the Bradley-Terry-Luce model. For the first time in the literature, the minimax rate of this ranking problem is derived with respect to the Kendall's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Pinhan Chen , Chao Gao , Anderson Y. Zhang

This paper investigates the Tennis Momentum Model (TMM), which aims to enhance the understanding of match dynamics by integrating key factors such as efficiency, historical scoring probabilities, and real-time scoring data. The model is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jackson Graves , Daniel X. Guo , Ridge Shepherd , Alexander Young

Probabilistic properties of tennis scoring systems are examined and compared with best-of-K systems. A model, where each player has his/her own probability of winning his/her service point and which remains invariant for the duration of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Edsel A. Pena , Dip Das , Yuexuan Wu

Intransitive player dominance, where player A beats B, B beats C, but C beats A, is common in competitive tennis. Yet, there are few known attempts to incorporate it within forecasting methods. We address this problem with a graph neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Lawrence Clegg , John Cartlidge

Tennis is so popular that coaches and players are curious about factors other than skill, such as momentum. This article will try to define and quantify momentum, providing a basis for real-time analysis of tennis matches. Based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Ruixin Peng , Ziqing Li

We consider the problem of ranking objects from noisy pairwise comparisons, for example, ranking tennis players from the outcomes of matches. We follow a standard approach to this problem and assume that each object has an unobserved…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Daniel Sánchez Catalina , George T. Cantwell

Ranking athletes by their performance in competitions and tournaments is common in every popular sport and has significant benefits that contribute to both the organization and strategic aspects of competitions. Although rankings are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-28 Bogdán Asztalos , Boldizsár Balázs , Gergely Palla , Tamás Vicsek

Single-elimination tournaments are the standard paradigm both for the main tennis professional associations. Schedules are generated by allocating first seeded and then unseeded players with seeds prevented from encountering each other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-23 Federico Della Croce , Gabriele Dragotto , Rosario Scatamacchia
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