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We propose a novel model to achieve superior out-of-sample Sharpe ratios. While most research in asset allocation focuses on estimating the return vector and covariance matrix, the first component of our novel model instead forecasts the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

This paper considers the problem of optimal liquidation of a position in a risky security in a financial market, where price evolution are risky and trades have an impact on price as well as uncertainty in the filling orders. The problem is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-16 Xue Cheng , Marina Di Giacinto , Tai-Ho Wang

This paper investigates optimal investment and pension policies in a Pay-As-You-Go (PAYG) system supplemented by a buffer fund used as an intergenerational risk-sharing mechanism. The social planner's preference criterion is represented by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-15 Jennifer Alonso-Garcia , Caroline Hillairet , Sarah Kaakai , Mohamed Mrad

We propose a multi-factor polynomial framework to model and hedge long-term electricity contracts with delivery period. This framework has several advantages: the computation of forwards, risk premium and correlation between different…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-11 Xi Kleisinger-Yu , Vlatka Komaric , Martin Larsson , Markus Regez

We propose a portfolio allocation method based on risk factor budgeting using convex Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF). Unlike classical factor analysis, PCA, or ICA, NMF ensures positive factor loadings to obtain interpretable…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-13 Bruno Spilak , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

This paper advances the computational efficiency of Deep Hedging frameworks through the novel integration of Kronecker-Factored Approximate Curvature (K-FAC) optimization. While recent literature has established Deep Hedging as a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-25 Tsogt-Ochir Enkhbayar

The fast-growing Emerging Market (EM) economies and their improved transparency and liquidity have attracted international investors. However, the external price shocks can result in a higher level of volatility as well as domestic policy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-11 Souhir Ben Amor , Michael Althof , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Traders are often faced with large block orders in markets with limited liquidity and varying volatility. Executing the entire order at once usually incurs a large trading cost because of this limited liquidity. In order to minimize this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-23 Nico Achtsis , Dirk Nuyens

We propose a projection method to estimate risk-neutral moments from option prices. We derive a finite-sample bound implying that the projection estimator attains (up to a constant) the smallest pricing error within the span of traded…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Tjeerd De Vries

This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating a cash injection into a financial system in distress. Given a one-period borrower-lender network in which all debts are due at the same time and have the same seniority, we address the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-18 Zhang Li , Xiaojun Lin , Borja Peleato-Inarrea , Ilya Pollak

This paper studies an optimal investing problem for a retiree facing longevity risk and living standard risk. We formulate the investing problem as a portfolio choice problem under a time-varying risk capacity constraint. We derive the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-16 Weidong Tian , Zimu Zhu

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

We study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives used in liquidity management and clarify its relation to risk-neutral valuation and replication. While it is well known that expectations under different measures (e.g., $\mathbb{P}$ vs.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-05 Christian P. Fries

When a loan is approved for a person or company, the bank is subject to \emph{credit risk}; the risk that the lender defaults. To mitigate this risk, a bank will require some form of \emph{security}, which will be collected if the lender…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Hannaneh Akrami , Kurt Mehlhorn , Tommy Odland

In this paper, we focus on finding the optimal hedging strategy of a credit index option using reinforcement learning. We take a practical approach, where the focus is on realism i.e. discrete time, transaction costs; even testing our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-20 Francesco Mandelli , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Edoardo Vittori

This paper develops a new dual approach to compute the hedging portfolio of a Bermudan option and its initial value. It gives a "purely dual" algorithm following the spirit of Rogers (2010) in the sense that it only relies on the dual…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-18 Aurélien Alfonsi , Ahmed Kebaier , Jérôme Lelong

I study intertemporal hedging demand in a continuous-time multi-asset long-run risk (LRR) model under Epstein--Zin (EZ) recursive preferences. The investor trades a risk-free asset and several risky assets whose drifts and volatilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-18 Wonchan Cho

We propose a pairs trading model that incorporates a time-varying volatility of the Constant Elasticity of Variance type. Our approach is based on stochastic control techniques; given a fixed time horizon and a portfolio of two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-05 T. N. Li , A. Tourin

Paper is based on "The cost of illiquidity and its effects on hedging", L. C. G. Rogers and Surbjeet Singh, 2010. We generalize its thesis to constant elasticity model, which own previously used Black-Schoels model as a special case. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Krzysztof Turek

I explicitly work out closed form solutions for the optimal hedging strategies (in the sense of Bouchaud and Sornette) in the case of European call options, where the underlying is modeled by (unbiased) iid additive returns with Student-t…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 K. Pinn