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We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Maximum likelihood estimation is effective for identifying dynamical systems, but applying it to large networks becomes computationally prohibitive. This paper introduces a maximum likelihood estimation method that enables identification of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-06 João Victor Galvão da Mata , Anders Hansson , Martin S. Andersen

Although there is a rapidly growing literature on dynamic connectivity methods, the primary focus has been on separate network estimation for each individual, which fails to leverage common patterns of information. We propose novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Suprateek Kundu , Jin Ming , Joe Nocera , Keith M. McGregor

We describe algorithms for learning Bayesian networks from a combination of user knowledge and statistical data. The algorithms have two components: a scoring metric and a search procedure. The scoring metric takes a network structure,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Dan Geiger , David Heckerman

This paper describes stochastic search approaches, including a new stochastic algorithm and an adaptive mutation operator, for learning Bayesian networks from incomplete data. This problem is characterized by a huge solution space with a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 James W. Myers , Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Tod S. Levitt

This paper addresses the problem of identifying the graph structure of a dynamical network using measured input/output data. This problem is known as topology identification and has received considerable attention in recent literature. Most…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Henk J. van Waarde , Pietro Tesi , M. Kanat Camlibel

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

This paper presents a Bayesian approach to learning the connectivity structure of a group of neurons from data on configuration frequencies. A major objective of the research is to provide statistical tools for detecting changes in firing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Laura Martignon

Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

In order to detect patterns in real networks, randomized graph ensembles that preserve only part of the topology of an observed network are systematically used as fundamental null models. However, their generation is still problematic. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-14 Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

Dynamic networks are structured interconnections of dynamical systems (modules) driven by external excitation and disturbance signals. In order to identify their dynamical properties and/or their topology consistently from measured data, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Harm H. M. Weerts , Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Arne G. Dankers

We develop a variational Bayesian (VB) approach for estimating large-scale dynamic network models in the network autoregression framework. The VB approach allows for the automatic identification of the dynamic structure of such a model and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 Wei-Ting Lai , Ray-Bing Chen , Ying Chen , Thorsten Koch

Modeling structure in complex networks using Bayesian non-parametrics makes it possible to specify flexible model structures and infer the adequate model complexity from the observed data. This paper provides a gentle introduction to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-23 Mikkel N. Schmidt , Morten Mørup

We develop a method for reconstructing regulatory interconnection networks between variables evolving according to a linear dynamical system. The work is motivated by the problem of gene regulatory network inference, that is, finding causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 Atte Aalto , Jorge Goncalves

Mobile Data Offloading permits users to use cheap communication media, whenever feasible, for delivering their personal data instead of using the infrastructure which is more expensive. Having good procedures to assess and compare the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-01-08 Alan Ferrari , Dario Gallucci

Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

We propose a novel Bayesian methodology which uses random walks for rapid inference of statistical properties of undirected networks with weighted or unweighted edges. Our formalism yields high-accuracy estimates of the probability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-25 Willow B. Kion-Crosby , Alexandre V. Morozov

Motion correlation interfaces are those that present targets moving in different patterns, which the user can select by matching their motion. In this paper, we re-formulate the task of target selection as a probabilistic inference problem.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Eduardo Velloso , Carlos Hitoshi Morimoto

Finding an optimal parameter of a black-box function is important for searching stable material structures and finding optimal neural network structures, and Bayesian optimization algorithms are widely used for the purpose. However, most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Tatsuya Shiraishi , Tam Le , Hisashi Kashima , Makoto Yamada

Mining itemsets that are the most interesting under a statistical model of the underlying data is a commonly used and well-studied technique for exploratory data analysis, with the most recent interestingness models exhibiting state of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jaroslav Fowkes , Charles Sutton