Related papers: Markov-chain-inspired search for MH370
Malaysian Airlines flight MH370 veered off course unexpectedly during a scheduled trip from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing on the 7th of March 2014. MH370 was tracked via military radar into the Malacca Straits and, after disappearing from radar,…
The disappearance of flight MH370 is possibly the greatest mystery in aviation history. A large zone in the Southern Indian Ocean was searched unsuccessfully leaving an open case and an unacceptable situation for the family members. We…
This paper presents a system based on a Two-Way Particle-Tracking Model to analyze possible crash positions of flight MH370. The particle simulator includes a simple flow simulation of the debris based on a Lagrangian approach and a module…
The chaotic nature of ocean motion is a major challenge that hinders the discovery of spatio-temporal current routes that govern the transport of material. Certain material, such as oil spills, pose significant environmental threats and…
This paper explores the Opportunistic Routing Protocols in the context of remote sea emergency scenarios, using the MH370 plane crash as a case study (OppNetMH370). We studied the likelihood of successful transmissions of emergency messages…
We consider a class of high-dimensional spatial filtering problems, where the spatial locations of observations are unknown and driven by the partially observed hidden signal. This problem is exceptionally challenging as not only is…
In the early morning hours of June 1, 2009, during a flight from Rio de Janeiro to Paris, Air France Flight AF 447 disappeared during stormy weather over a remote part of the Atlantic carrying 228 passengers and crew to their deaths. After…
The orbital architectures of compact exoplanet systems record their complicated dynamical histories. Recent research supports the ``breaking-the-chains'' hypothesis, which proposes that compact systems typically form in chains of…
We present a novel predict-then-optimize framework for maritime search operations that integrates trajectory forecasting with UAV deployment optimization-an end-to-end approach not addressed in prior work. A large language model predicts…
Maritime accidents cause thousands of disappearances every year, with migrant crossings being particularly dangerous and under-reported. Current coastal and NGO search and rescue services are unable to provide a timely response, so new…
We construct a Markov-chain representation of the surface-ocean Lagrangian dynamics in a region occupied by the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) and adjacent portions of the Caribbean Sea and North Atlantic using satellite-tracked drifter trajectory…
One of the most well-known extragalactic sources in the sky, quasar 3C 454.3, shows a curved parsec-scale jet that has been exhaustively monitored with very-long-baseline interferometry (VLBI) over the recent years. In this work, we present…
We show that long-term memory effects, present in the chaotic dispersion process generated by a meandering jet model, can be nonetheless taken into account by a first order Markov process, provided that the states of the phase space…
Statistical modeling of dependent directional data remains relatively underexplored, particularly in high-dimensional spatial settings. Existing approaches for spatial angular data primarily rely on wrapped Gaussian process (WGP) models,…
We discuss a non-reversible, lifted Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for particle systems in which the direction of proposed displacements is changed deterministically. This algorithm sweeps through directions analogously to the…
Since Hamming distances can be calculated by bitwise computations, they can be calculated with less computational load than L2 distances. Similarity searches can therefore be performed faster in Hamming distance space. The elements of…
A probabilistic Markov Chain (MC) surrogate model for a two-dimensional system of interacting particles within a square domain having inherent symmetries is developed. Particles are assumed to be circular and identical, colliding with each…
The first 72 hours of a missing-child investigation are critical for successful recovery. However, law enforcement agencies often face fragmented, unstructured data and a lack of dynamic, geospatial predictive tools. Our system, Guardian,…
A simple transit model is described along with tests of this model against published results for 4 exoplanet systems (Kepler-1, 2, 8, and 77). Data from the Kepler mission are used. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is applied to…
In this paper, we study a Markov chain-based stochastic gradient algorithm in general Hilbert spaces, aiming at approximating the optimal solution of a quadratic loss function. We establish probabilistic upper bounds on its convergence. We…