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This chapter surveys univariate and multivariate methods for infectious disease outbreak detection. The setting considered is a prospective one: data arrives sequentially as part of the surveillance systems maintained by public health…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-27 Benjamin Allévius , Michael Höhle

Accurate and explainable health event predictions are becoming crucial for healthcare providers to develop care plans for patients. The availability of electronic health records (EHR) has enabled machine learning advances in providing these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Chang Lu , Chandan K. Reddy , Prithwish Chakraborty , Samantha Kleinberg , Yue Ning

Early outbreak detection is a key aspect in the containment of infectious diseases, as it enables the identification and isolation of infected individuals before the disease can spread to a larger population. Instead of detecting unexpected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Michael Rapp , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole. While forecasting epidemic progression is frequently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Alexander Rodríguez , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Pulak Agarwal , Javen Ho , Mira Patel , Suchet Sapre , B. Aditya Prakash

Understanding the characteristics of public attention and sentiment is an essential prerequisite for appropriate crisis management during adverse health events. This is even more crucial during a pandemic such as COVID-19, as primary…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Oguzhan Gencoglu , Mathias Gruber

Detecting and preventing outbreaks of mosquito-borne diseases such as Dengue and Zika in Brasil and other tropical regions has long been a priority for governments in affected areas. Streaming social media content, such as Twitter, is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Paolo Missier , Alexander Romanovsky , Tudor Miu , Atinder Pal , Michael Daniilakis , Alessandro Garcia , Diego Cedrim , Leonardo da Silva Sousa

This paper introduces a temporal framework for detecting and clustering emergent and viral topics on social networks. Endogenous and exogenous influence on developing viral content is explored using a clustering method based on the a user's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Abbas Ehsanfar , Mo Mansouri

Uncertainty can be classified as either aleatoric (intrinsic randomness) or epistemic (imperfect knowledge of parameters). The majority of frameworks assessing infectious disease risk consider only epistemic uncertainty. We only ever…

We present the Global Health Monitor, an online Web-based system for detecting and mapping infectious disease outbreaks that appear in news stories. The system analyzes English news stories from news feed providers, classifies them for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Son Doan , Quoc-Hung Ngo , Ai Kawazoe , Nigel Collier

Infectious diseases are caused by pathogenic microorganisms and can spread through different ways. Mathematical models and computational simulation have been used extensively to investigate the transmission and spread of infectious…

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) - particularly generative AI - present new opportunities to accelerate, or even automate, epidemiological research. Unlike disciplines based on physical experimentation, a sizable fraction of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-22 David Bann , Ed Lowther , Liam Wright , Yevgeniya Kovalchuk

We study the dynamics of epidemic spreading processes aimed at spontaneous dissemination of information updates in populations with complex connectivity patterns. The influence of the topological structure of the network in these processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Yamir Moreno , Maziar Nekovee , Alessandro Vespignani

This manuscript presents a methodical examination of the utilization of Artificial Intelligence in the assessment of emotions in texts related to healthcare, with a particular focus on the incorporation of Natural Language Processing and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Prashant Kumar Nag , Amit Bhagat , R. Vishnu Priya , Deepak kumar Khare

Social media has been considered as a data source for tracking disease. However, most analyses are based on models that prioritize strong correlation with population-level disease rates over determining whether or not specific individual…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-14 Todd Bodnar , Victoria C Barclay , Nilam Ram , Conrad S Tucker , Marcel Salathé

Social networks are rich source of data to analyze user habits in all aspects of life. User's behavior is decisive component of a health system in various countries. Promoting good behavior can improve the public health significantly. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Shova Bhandari , Rini Raju

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

The abrupt outbreak and transmission of biological diseases has always been a long-time concern of humankind. For long, mathematical modeling has served as a simple and yet efficient tool to investigate, predict, and control spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Aresh Dadlani , Richard O. Afolabi , Hyoyoung Jung , Khosrow Sohraby , Kiseon Kim

Seasonal influenza epidemics cause consistent, considerable, widespread loss annually in terms of economic burden, morbidity, and mortality. With access to accurate and reliable forecasts of a current or upcoming influenza epidemic's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Logan C. Brooks , David C. Farrow , Sangwon Hyun , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Roni Rosenfeld

This document is the Part IV of the book 'Stochastic Epidemic Models with Inference' edited by Tom Britton and Etienne Pardoux. It is written by Catherine Lar\'edo, with the contribution of Viet Chi Tran for the Chapter 4. Epidemic data…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Catherine Larédo , Viet Chi Tran

Epidemics are emergent phenomena depending on the epidemiological characteristics of pathogens and the interaction and movement of people. Public transit systems have provided much important information about the movement of people, but…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Zhanwei Du , Chao Gao , Yuan Bai , Yongjian Yang , Petter Holme
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