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Probability forecasts are intended to account for the uncertainties inherent in forecasting. It is suggested that from an end-user's point of view probability is not necessarily sufficient to reflect uncertainties that are not simply the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Kevin Judd

The power of symbolic computation, as opposed to mere numerical computation, is illustrated with efficient algorithms for studying the generalized gambler's ruin problem in one and two dimensions. We also consider a new generalization of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Lucy Martinez

When a system has more than one stable state, how can the stability of these states be compared? This deceptively simple question has important consequences for ecosystems, because systems with alternative stable states can undergo dramatic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-26 Ben C. Nolting , Karen C. Abbott

This paper describes valuation-based systems for representing and solving discrete optimization problems. In valuation-based systems, we represent information in an optimization problem using variables, sample spaces of variables, a set of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Prakash P. Shenoy , Glenn Shafer

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

An analysis of high-dimensional data can offer a detailed description of a system but is often challenged by the curse of dimensionality. General dimensionality reduction techniques can alleviate such difficulty by extracting a few…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Di Bo , Hoon Hwangbo , Vinit Sharma , Corey Arndt , Stephanie C. TerMaath

We show how two techniques from statistical physics can be adapted to solve a variant of the notorious Unique Games problem, potentially opening new avenues towards the Unique Games Conjecture. The variant, which we call Count Unique Games,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Matthew Coulson , Ewan Davies , Alexandra Kolla , Viresh Patel , Guus Regts

We introduce a new technique for the efficient management of large sequences of multidimensional data, which takes advantage of regularities that arise in real-world datasets and supports different types of aggregation queries. More…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-03-08 Nieves R. Brisaboa , Guillermo de Bernardo , Gonzalo Navarro , Tirso V. Rodeiro , Diego Seco

Sparse high dimensional graphical model selection is a topic of much interest in modern day statistics. A popular approach is to apply l1-penalties to either (1) parametric likelihoods, or, (2) regularized regression/pseudo-likelihoods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-04 Kshitij Khare , Sang-Yun Oh , Bala Rajaratnam

Studying continuous time counterpart of some discrete time dynamics is now a standard and fruitful technique, as some properties hold in both setups. In game theory, this is usually done by considering differential games on Euclidean…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Vianney Perchet , Marc Quincampoix

Archetypal analysis is an unsupervised learning method for exploratory data analysis. One major challenge that limits the applicability of archetypal analysis in practice is the inherent computational complexity of the existing algorithms.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-13 Ruijian Han , Braxton Osting , Dong Wang , Yiming Xu

This work presents a novel policy iteration algorithm to tackle nonzero-sum stochastic impulse games arising naturally in many applications. Despite the obvious impact of solving such problems, there are no suitable numerical methods…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-29 René Aïd , Francisco Bernal , Mohamed Mnif , Diego Zabaljauregui , Jorge P. Zubelli

The present paper introduces a novel notion of `(effective) computability', called viability, of strategies in game semantics in an intrinsic (i.e., without recourse to the standard Church-Turing computability), non-inductive and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Norihiro Yamada

We propose a computational framework to quantify (measure) and to optimize the reliability of complex systems. The approach uses a graph representation of the system that is subject to random failures of its components (nodes and edges).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Joshua L. Pulsipher , Victor M. Zavala

Robust estimation is much more challenging in high dimensions than it is in one dimension: Most techniques either lead to intractable optimization problems or estimators that can tolerate only a tiny fraction of errors. Recent work in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Ilias Diakonikolas , Gautam Kamath , Daniel M. Kane , Jerry Li , Ankur Moitra , Alistair Stewart

A graph theoretic perspective is taken for a range of phenomena in continuum physics in order to develop representations for analysis of large scale, high-fidelity solutions to these problems. Of interest are phenomena described by partial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-05-22 R. Banerjee , K. Sagiyama , G. H. Teichert , K. Garikipati

We study minimum integer representations of weighted games, i.e., representations where the weights are integers and every other integer representation is at least as large in each component. Those minimum integer representations, if the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Josep Freixas , Sascha Kurz

A game theoretic distributed decision making approach is presented for the problem of control effort allocation in a robotic team based on a novel variant of fictitious play. The proposed learning process allows the robots to accomplish…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Michalis Smyrnakis , Sandor M. Veres

Chance constraints are frequently used to limit the probability of constraint violations in real-world optimization problems where the constraints involve stochastic components. We study chance-constrained submodular optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Xiankun Yan , Anh Viet Do , Feng Shi , Xiaoyu Qin , Frank Neumann

The Shapley value, which is arguably the most popular approach for assigning a meaningful contribution value to players in a cooperative game, has recently been used intensively in explainable artificial intelligence. Its meaningfulness is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Patrick Kolpaczki , Viktor Bengs , Maximilian Muschalik , Eyke Hüllermeier