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We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

The first passage time density of a diffusion process to a time varying threshold is of primary interest in different fields. Here we consider a Brownian motion in presence of an exponentially decaying threshold to model the neuronal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-18 Massimiliano Tamborrino

This paper establishes explicit solutions for fractional diffusion problems on bounded domains. It also gives stochastic solutions, in terms of Markov processes time-changed by an inverse stable subordinator whose index equals the order of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Boris Baeumer , Tomasz Luks , Mark M. Meerschaert

We consider the area functional defined by the integral of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process which starts from a given value and ends at the time it first reaches zero (its equilibrium level). Exact results are presented for the mean, variance,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-05 Michael J. Kearney , Richard J. Martin

The first-passage-time problem for a Brownian motion with alternating infinitesimal moments through a constant boundary is considered under the assumption that the time intervals between consecutive changes of these moments are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 A. Di Crescenzo , E. Di Nardo , L. M. Ricciardi

We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-16 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

Inverse statistical physics aims at inferring models compatible with a set of empirical averages estimated from a high-dimensional dataset of independently distributed equilibrium configurations of a given system. However, in several…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-12 Edwin Rodriguez Horta , Alejandro Lage , Martin Weigt , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix

This paper explores the forward and inverse problems for a fractional subdiffusion equation characterized by time-dependent diffusion and reaction coefficients. Initially, the forward problem is examined, and its unique solvability is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Ravshan Ashurov , Elbek Husanov

Inverse problems involve making inference about unknown parameters of a physical process using observational data. This paper investigates an important class of inverse problems -- the estimation of the initial condition of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo

First-passage times are often the most relevant aspect of a complex Markovian network, because they signify when information processing has resulted in a definite decision. Previous studies have shown that for kinetic proofreading networks…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-25 Julian B. Voits , Ulrich S. Schwarz

We adapt ideas and concepts developed in optimal transport (and its martingale variant) to give a geometric description of optimal stopping times of Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the distribution of the stopping time is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Mathias Beiglboeck , Manu Eder , Christiane Elgert , Uwe Schmock

Since diffusion processes arise in so many different fields, efficient tech-nics for the simulation of sample paths, like discretization schemes, represent crucial tools in applied probability. Such methods permit to obtain approximations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-22 Samuel Herrmann , Cristina Zucca

In this work, we investigate inverse problems of recovering the time-dependent coefficient in the nonlinear transport equation in both cases: two-dimensional Riemannian manifolds and Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^n$, $n\geq 2$. Specifically,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Ru-Yu Lai , Hanming Zhou

We propose a new approximation for the distribution of the time of the first level $u$ crossing by the random process $\homV{s}-cs$, where $\homV{s}$, $s>0$, is compound renewal process and $c>0$. It is competitive with respect to existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Vsevolod K. Malinovskii

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of diffusion processes is revisited. An integration by parts formula is derived for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process in an abstract space. It leads to a time reversal formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Patrick Cattiaux , Giovanni Conforti , Ivan Gentil , Christian Léonard

We derive general bounds on the probability that the empirical first-passage time $\overline{\tau}_n\equiv \sum_{i=1}^n\tau_i/n$ of a reversible ergodic Markov process inferred from a sample of $n$ independent realizations deviates from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-12 Rick Bebon , Aljaž Godec

First passage under restart has recently emerged as a conceptual framework to study various stochastic processes under restart mechanism. Emanating from the canonical diffusion problem by Evans and Majumdar, restart has been shown to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-01 Ofek Lauber Bonomo , Arnab Pal

In this article, we analyze three classes of time-reversal of a Markov process with Gaussian noise on a manifold. We first unveil a commutativity constraint for the most general of these time-reversals to be well defined. Then we give a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-09 Jérémy O'Byrne , Michael E. Cates

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

In this paper, we study both the direct and inverse random source problems associated with the multi-term time-fractional diffusion-wave equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion. Regarding the direct problem, the well-posedness is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Xiaoli Feng , Qiang Yao , Peijun Li , Xu Wang