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The present contribution offers a simple methodology for the obtainment of data-driven interval forecasting models by combining pairs of quantile regressions. Those regressions are created without the usage of the non-differentiable…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Jorge Ángel González Ordiano , Wolfgang Doneit , Simon Waczowicz , Lutz Gröll , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

In this paper, we present a method to determine the global horizontal irradiance (GHI) from the power measurements of one or more PV systems, located in the same neighborhood. The method is completely unsupervised and is based on a physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

The challenges in applications of solar energy lies in its intermittency and dependency on meteorological parameters such as; solar radiation, ambient temperature, rainfall, wind-speed etc., and many other physical parameters like dust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Debojyoti Chakraborty , Jayeeta Mondal , Hrishav Bakul Barua , Ankur Bhattacharjee

An accurate and up-to-date model of a photovoltaic (PV) power plant is essential for its optimal operation and maintenance. However, such a model may not be easily available. This work introduces a novel approach for PV power plant mapping…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Viktor Kozák , Jan Chudoba , Libor Přeučil

Accurate solar power forecasting is crucial to integrate photovoltaic plants into the electric grid, schedule and secure the power grid safety. This problem becomes more demanding for those newly installed solar plants which lack sufficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Ziqing Ma , Wenwei Wang , Tian Zhou , Chao Chen , Bingqing Peng , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Photovoltaic (PV) systems have received much attention in recent years due to their ability of efficiently converting solar power into electricity, which offers important benefits to the environment. PV systems in regions with high solar…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-17 Sri Rama Phanindra Chitturi , Ekanki Sharma , Wilfried Elmenreich

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

Short term load forecasts will play a key role in the implementation of smart electricity grids. They are required to optimise a wide range of potential network solutions on the low voltage (LV) grid, including integrating low carbon…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis , Florian Ziel , Siddharth Arora

Modeling and predicting solar events, particularly the solar ramping event, is critical for improving situational awareness for solar power generation systems. It has been acknowledged that weather conditions such as temperature, humidity,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Minghe Zhang , Chen Xu , Andy Sun , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

PV power forecasting models are predominantly based on machine learning algorithms which do not provide any insight into or explanation about their predictions (black boxes). Therefore, their direct implementation in environments where…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-08 Georgios Mitrentsis , Hendrik Lens

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

A novel unsupervised machine learning approach for analyzing time-series data is applied to the topic of photovoltaic (PV) system degradation rate estimation, sometimes referred to as energy-yield degradation analysis. This approach only…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Bennet Meyers , Michael Deceglie , Chris Deline , Dirk Jordan

From an operational and planning perspective, it is important to quantify the impact of increasing penetration of photovoltaics on the distribution system. Most existing impact assessment studies are scenario-based where derived results are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai

This paper aims to introduce a new statistical learning technique based on sparsity promoting for data-driven modeling and control of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. Compared with conventional sparse regression techniques that might…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-07 Zhongtian Zhang , Javad Khazaei , Rick S. Blum

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

The growing interest in the use of clean energy has led to the construction of increasingly large photovoltaic systems. Consequently, monitoring the proper functioning of these systems has become a highly relevant issue.In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-30 L. E. Montañez , L. M. Valentín-Coronado , D. Moctezuma , G. Flores
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