Related papers: Calibrating dependence between random elements
Calibration parameters in deterministic computer experiments are those attributes that cannot be measured or available in physical experiments. Kennedy and O'Hagan \cite{kennedy2001bayesian} suggested an approach to estimate them by using…
In this article, we study the test for independence of two random elements $X$ and $Y$ lying in an infinite dimensional space ${\cal{H}}$ (specifically, a real separable Hilbert space equipped with the inner product $\langle .,…
Distance correlation is a new measure of dependence between random vectors. Distance covariance and distance correlation are analogous to product-moment covariance and correlation, but unlike the classical definition of correlation,…
This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…
To quantify the dependence between two random vectors of possibly different dimensions, we propose to rely on the properties of the 2-Wasserstein distance. We first propose two coefficients that are based on the Wasserstein distance between…
A novel method for correlation analysis using scale-dependent Renyi entropies is described. The method involves calculating the entropy of a data distribution as an explicit function of the scale of a d-dimensional partition of d-cubes,…
The goal of this paper is to investigate how the marginal and dependence structures of a variety of multivariate L\'evy models affect calibration and pricing. To this aim, we study the approaches of Luciano and Semeraro (2010) and Ballotta…
In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…
A suitable scalar metric can help measure multi-calibration, defined as follows. When the expected values of observed responses are equal to corresponding predicted probabilities, the probabilistic predictions are known as "perfectly…
A machine learning model is calibrated if its predicted probability for an outcome matches the observed frequency for that outcome conditional on the model prediction. This property has become increasingly important as the impact of machine…
Distance correlation is a novel class of multivariate dependence measure, taking positive values between 0 and 1, and applicable to random vectors of arbitrary dimensions, not necessarily equal. It offers several advantages over the…
The concept of refinement from probability elicitation is considered for proper scoring rules. Taking directions from the axioms of probability, refinement is further clarified using a Hilbert space interpretation and reformulated into the…
Multi-class classification methods that produce sets of probabilistic classifiers, such as ensemble learning methods, are able to model aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatoric uncertainty is then typically quantified via the Bayes…
This article proposes a generalized notion of extreme multivariate dependence between two random vectors which relies on the extremality of the cross-covariance matrix between these two vectors. Using a partial ordering on the…
The probabilistic characterization of the relationship between two or more random variables calls for a notion of dependence. Dependence modeling leads to mathematical and statistical challenges, and recent developments in extremal…
A long noted difficulty when assessing the reliability (or calibration) of forecasting systems is that reliability, in general, is a hypothesis not about a finite dimensional parameter but about an entire functional relationship. A…
In this note we develop and clarify some of the basic combinatorial properties of the new notion of $n$-dependence (for $1\leq n < \omega$) recently introduced by Shelah. In the same way as dependence of a theory means its inability to…
Reliability of a system is considered where the components' random lifetimes may be dependent. The structure of the system is described by an associated "lattice polynomial" function. Based on that descriptor, general framework formulas are…
(To appear in The American Statistician.) Distance covariance (Sz\'ekely, Rizzo, and Bakirov, 2007) is a fascinating recent notion, which is popular as a test for dependence of any type between random variables $X$ and $Y$. This approach…
The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we provide a novel characterization of independence of random vectors based on the checkerboard approximation to a multivariate copula. Using this result, we then propose a new family of tests of…