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In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

Deep learning techniques have been shown to be extremely effective for various classification and regression problems, but quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions and separating them into the epistemic and aleatoric fractions is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-15 Augustin Prado , Ravinath Kausik , Lalitha Venkataramanan

We consider the joint design and control of discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems over a finite time horizon. We formulate the problem as a multi-step optimization problem under uncertainty seeking to identify a system design and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Adrien Bolland , Ioannis Boukas , Mathias Berger , Damien Ernst

The ability to make accurate predictions with quantified uncertainty provides a crucial foundation for the successful management of a geothermal reservoir. Conventional approaches for making predictions using geothermal reservoir models…

DBSCAN is widely used in many scientific and engineering fields because of its simplicity and practicality. However, due to its high sensitivity parameters, the accuracy of the clustering result depends heavily on practical experience. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Ruitong Zhang , Hao Peng , Yingtong Dou , Jia Wu , Qingyun Sun , Jingyi Zhang , Philip S. Yu

Machine learning classifiers are probabilistic in nature, and thus inevitably involve uncertainty. Predicting the probability of a specific input to be correct is called uncertainty (or confidence) estimation and is crucial for risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

Rock mass classification systems are crucial for assessing stability and risk in underground construction globally and guiding support and excavation design. However, these systems, developed primarily in the 1970s, lack access to modern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 T. F. Hansen , A. Aarset

A novel data-driven stochastic robust optimization (DDSRO) framework is proposed for optimization under uncertainty leveraging labeled multi-class uncertainty data. Uncertainty data in large datasets are often collected from various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Chao Ning , Fengqi You

Geosystems are geological formations altered by humans activities such as fossil energy exploration, waste disposal, geologic carbon sequestration, and renewable energy generation. Geosystems also represent a critical link in the global…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-14 Alexander Y. Sun , Hongkyu Yoon , Chung-Yan Shih , Zhi Zhong

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

Dynamic subspace estimation, or subspace tracking, is a fundamental problem in statistical signal processing and machine learning. This paper considers a geodesic model for time-varying subspaces. The natural objective function for this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 Cameron J. Blocker , Haroon Raja , Jeffrey A. Fessler , Laura Balzano

We present a novel view of nonlinear manifold learning using derivative-free optimization techniques. Specifically, we propose an extension of the classical multi-dimensional scaling (MDS) method, where instead of performing gradient…

Self-localization is an important technology for automating bulldozers. Conventional bulldozer self-localization systems rely on RTK-GNSS (Real Time Kinematic-Global Navigation Satellite Systems). However, RTK-GNSS signals are sometimes…

Decision-guided perspectives on model uncertainty expand traditional statistical thinking about managing, comparing and combining inferences from sets of models. Bayesian predictive decision synthesis (BPDS) advances conceptual and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Emily Tallman , Mike West

3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) has recently gained great attention in the 3D scene representation for its high-quality real-time rendering capabilities. However, when the input comprises sparse training views, 3DGS is prone to overfitting,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ruocheng Wu , Haolan He , Yufei Wang , Zhihao Li , Bihan Wen

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

The topic of risk prevention and emergency response has become a key social and political concern. One approach to address this challenge is to develop Decision Support Systems (DSS) that can help emergency planners and responders to detect…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-04-21 Fahem Kebair , Frederic Serin

Dynamical models estimate and predict the temporal evolution of physical systems. State Space Models (SSMs) in particular represent the system dynamics with many desirable properties, such as being able to model uncertainty in both the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Changhao Chen , Chris Xiaoxuan Lu , Bing Wang , Niki Trigoni , Andrew Markham

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are a promising tool for Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) positioning in the presence of multipath and non-line-of-sight errors, owing to their ability to model complex errors using data. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Ashwin V. Kanhere , Shubh Gupta , Akshay Shetty , Grace Gao

Large-scale multi-session LiDAR mapping is essential for a wide range of applications, including surveying, autonomous driving, crowdsourced mapping, and multi-agent navigation. However, existing approaches often struggle with data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Xiangcheng Hu , Jin Wu , Jianhao Jiao , Binqian Jiang , Wei Zhang , Wenshuo Wang , Ping Tan