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Uncertainty estimation in deep models is essential in many real-world applications and has benefited from developments over the last several years. Recent evidence suggests that existing solutions dependent on simple Gaussian formulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Jurijs Nazarovs , Ronak R. Mehta , Vishnu Suresh Lokhande , Vikas Singh

Quantifying the uncertainty in model parameters and output is a critical component in model-driven decision support systems for groundwater management. This paper presents a novel algorithmic approach which fuses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-26 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , David Moxey

We train a deep convolutional neural network to predict hydrodynamic results for flow coefficients, average transverse momenta and charged particle multiplicities in ultrarelativistic heavy-ion collisions from the initial energy density…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-03-09 H. Hirvonen , K. J. Eskola , H. Niemi

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

Solving large complex partial differential equations (PDEs), such as those that arise in computational fluid dynamics (CFD), is a computationally expensive process. This has motivated the use of deep learning approaches to approximate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Filipe de Avila Belbute-Peres , Thomas D. Economon , J. Zico Kolter

We demonstrate how deep convolutional neural networks can be trained to predict 2+1 D hydrodynamic simulation results for flow coefficients, mean-transverse-momentum and charged particle multiplicity from the initial energy density profile.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-04-04 H. Hirvonen , K. J. Eskola , H. Niemi

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

We develop several deep learning algorithms for approximating families of parametric PDE solutions. The proposed algorithms approximate solutions together with their gradients, which in the context of mathematical finance means that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-19 Marc Sabate Vidales , David Siska , Lukasz Szpruch

Neural networks (NNs) can achieved high performance in various fields such as computer vision, and natural language processing. However, deploying NNs in resource-constrained safety-critical systems has challenges due to uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed

In scenarios with limited available data, training the function-to-function neural PDE solver in an unsupervised manner is essential. However, the efficiency and accuracy of existing methods are constrained by the properties of numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Rui Zhang , Qi Meng , Rongchan Zhu , Yue Wang , Wenlei Shi , Shihua Zhang , Zhi-Ming Ma , Tie-Yan Liu

Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), are routinely used for Bayesian inference in generalized linear models; however, these algorithms are prohibitively slow in massive data…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-31 Nariankadu D. Shyamalkumar , Sanvesh Srivastava

Annotating the right data for training deep neural networks is an important challenge. Active learning using uncertainty estimates from Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) could provide an effective solution to this. Despite being theoretically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Kashyap Chitta , Jose M. Alvarez , Adam Lesnikowski

Fine-scale simulation of complex systems governed by multiscale partial differential equations (PDEs) is computationally expensive and various multiscale methods have been developed for addressing such problems. In addition, it is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-24 Govinda Anantha Padmanabha , Nicholas Zabaras

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Unsupervised optical flow estimators based on deep learning have attracted increasing attention due to the cost and difficulty of annotating for ground truth. Although performance measured by average End-Point Error (EPE) has improved over…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Shuzhi Yu , Hannah Halin Kim , Shuai Yuan , Carlo Tomasi

Partial differential equations frequently appear in the natural sciences and related disciplines. Solving them is often challenging, particularly in high dimensions, due to the "curse of dimensionality". In this work, we explore the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-30 Lukas Mouton , Florentin Reiter , Ying Chen , Patrick Rebentrost

Solving partial differential equations (PDEs) by numerical methods meet computational cost challenge for getting the accurate solution since fine grids and small time steps are required. Machine learning can accelerate this process, but…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Qi Wang , Yuan Mi , Haoyun Wang , Yi Zhang , Ruizhi Chengze , Hongsheng Liu , Ji-Rong Wen , Hao Sun
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