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The measures of roughness of the volatility in the litterature are based on the realized volatility of high frequency data. Some authors show that this leads to a biased estimate, and does not necessarily indicate roughness of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-01 Fabien Le Floc'h

We compute a sharp small-time estimate for implied volatility under a general uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model. For this we use the Bellaiche \cite{Bel81} heat kernel expansion combined with Laplace's method to integrate over…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 John Armstrong , Martin Forde , Matthew Lorig , Hongzhong Zhang

We propose a new static parameterization of the implied volatility surface which is constructed by using polynomials of sigmoid functions combined with some other terms. This parameterization is flexible enough to fit market implied…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-09 Andrey Itkin

We extend upon the saddle-point equation presented in [1] to derive large-time model-implied volatility smiles, providing its theoretical foundation and studying its applications in classical models. As long as characteristic function…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Chun Yat Yeung , Ali Hirsa

We study two complementary methodologies for calibrating implied volatility surfaces: analytical approximations and data-driven models based on rough path theory. On the analytical side, we revisit a second-order asymptotic expansion for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Elisa Alòs , Òscar Burés , Rafael de Santiago , Josep Vives

We study here the large-time behaviour of all continuous affine stochastic volatility models (in the sense of Keller-Ressel) and deduce a closed-form formula for the large-maturity implied volatility smile. Based on refinements of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-23 Antoine Jacquier , Aleksandar Mijatovic

We provide explicit conditions on the distribution of risk-neutral log-returns which yield sharp asymptotic estimates on the implied volatility smile. We allow for a variety of asymptotic regimes, including both small maturity (with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-08 Francesco Caravenna , Jacopo Corbetta

In this paper we prove an approximate formula expressed in terms of elementary functions for the implied volatility in the Heston model. The formula consists of the constant and first order terms in the large maturity expansion of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Martin Forde , Antoine Jacquier , Aleksandar Mijatovic

A small-time Edgeworth expansion of the density of an asset price is given under a general stochastic volatility model, from which asymptotic expansions of put option prices and at-the-money implied volatilities follow. A limit theorem for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-25 Omar El Euch , Masaaki Fukasawa , Jim Gatheral , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider the at-the-money strike derivative of implied volatility as the maturity tends to zero. Our main results quantify the behavior of the slope for infinite activity exponential L\'evy models including a Brownian component. As…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Stefan Gerhold , I. Cetin Gülüm , Arpad Pinter

We consider implied volatilities in asset pricing models, where the discounted underlying is a strict local martingale under the pricing measure. Our main result gives an asymptotic expansion of the right wing of the implied volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-19 Antoine Jacquier , Martin Keller-Ressel

We present a new methodology to analyze large classes of (classical and rough) stochastic volatility models, with special regard to short-time and small noise formulae for option prices. Our main tool is the theory of regularity structures,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Paolo Pigato

Estimating volatility from recent high frequency data, we revisit the question of the smoothness of the volatility process. Our main result is that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-14 Jim Gatheral , Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The Multi Variate Mixture Dynamics model is a tractable, dynamical, arbitrage-free multivariate model characterized by transparency on the dependence structure, since closed form formulae for terminal correlations, average correlations and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-01 Damiano Brigo , Camilla Pisani , Francesco Rapisarda

In a recent article the authors obtained a formula which relates explicitly the tail of risk neutral returns with the wing behavior of the Black Scholes implied volatility smile. In situations where precise tail asymptotics are unknown but…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shalom Benaim , Peter Friz

Rough volatility models are continuous time stochastic volatility models where the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter smaller than half, and have attracted much attention since a seminal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Masaaki Fukasawa , Tetsuya Takabatake , Rebecca Westphal

Fitting simultaneously SPX and VIX smiles is known to be one of the most challenging problems in volatility modeling. A long-standing conjecture due to Julien Guyon is that it may not be possible to calibrate jointly these two quantities…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-08 Jim Gatheral , Paul Jusselin , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-10 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

We analyse the behaviour of the implied volatility smile for options close to expiry in the exponential L\'evy class of asset price models with jumps. We introduce a new renormalisation of the strike variable with the property that the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-17 Aleksandar Mijatović , Peter Tankov

We investigate the data-driven discovery of parametric representations for implied volatility slices. Using symbolic regression, we search for simple analytic formulas that approximate the total implied variance as a function of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Martin Keller-Ressel , Hannes Nikulski