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We describe a new approach allowing for systematic causal attribution of weather and climate-related events, in near-real time. The method is purposely designed to facilitate its implementation at meteorological centers by relying on data…

We numerically investigate turbulent Rayleigh-B\'enard convection with gas bubbles attached to the hot plate, mimicking a core feature in electrolysis, catalysis, or boiling. The existence of bubbles on the plate reduces the global heat…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-17 Hao-Ran Liu , Kai Leong Chong , Rui Yang , Roberto Verzicco , Detlef Lohse

We study penetrative convection of a fluid confined between two horizontal plates, the temperatures of which are such that a temperature of maximum density lies between them. The range of Rayleigh numbers studied is $Ra = \left[10^6, 10^8…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-09-10 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , J. S. Wettlaufer

We present high-resolution direct numerical simulation studies of turbulent Rayleigh-Benard convection in a closed cylindrical cell with an aspect ratio of one. The focus of our analysis is on the finest scales of convective turbulence, in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-12-04 Janet D. Scheel , Mohammad S. Emran , Joerg Schumacher

Turbulent superstructures in horizontally extended three-dimensional Rayleigh-B\'enard convection flows are investigated in controlled laboratory experiments in water at Prandtl number $Pr = 7$. A Rayleigh-B\'enard cell with square…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-03 Sebastian Moller , Theo Käufer , Ambrish Pandey , Jörg Schumacher , Christian Cierpka

Global data assimilation enables weather forecasting at all scales and provides valuable data for studying the Earth system. However, the computational demands of physics-based algorithms used in operational systems limits the volume and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Thomas J. Vandal , Kate Duffy , Daniel McDuff , Yoni Nachmany , Chris Hartshorn

We commonly refer to state-estimation theory in geosciences as data assimilation. This term encompasses the entire sequence of operations that, starting from the observations of a system, and from additional statistical and dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-06-11 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino , Geir Evensen

We consider the Boussinesq approximation for Rayleigh-B\'{e}nard convection perturbed by an additive noise and with boundary conditions corresponding to heating from below. In two space dimensions, with sufficient stochastic forcing in the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-09-21 J. Földes , N. Glatt-Holtz , G. Richards , J. P. Whitehead

In this study, we analyzed a continuous data assimilation scheme applied on a double-diffusive natural convection model. The algorithm is introduced with a first order backward Euler time scheme along with a finite element discretization in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-06 Mine Akbas , Aytekin Cibik

Ensemble data assimilation techniques form an indispensable part of numerical weather prediction. As the ensemble size grows and model resolution increases, the amount of required storage becomes a major issue. Data compression schemes may…

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

In atmospheric and turbulent flow modeling, Large Eddy Simulation (LES) is often used to reduce computational cost, while observational data typically originates from the underlying physical system. Motivated by this setting, we study a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Adam Larios , Ali Pakzad , Nicholas White

Extensive numerical evidence shows that the assimilation of observations has a stabilizing effect on unstable dynamics, in numerical weather prediction and elsewhere. In this paper, we apply mathematically rigorous methods to showing why…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

Albeit laboratory experiments and numerical simulations have proven themselves successful in enhancing our understanding of long-living large-scale flow structures in horizontally extended Rayleigh-B\'enard convection, some discrepancies…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-12 Philipp Patrick Vieweg , Theo Käufer , Christian Cierpka , Jörg Schumacher

The dynamics of heat transfer in a model system of Rayleigh-B\'enard (RB) convection reduced to its essential, here dubbed Burgers-Rayleigh-B\'enard (BRB), is studied. The system is spatially one-dimensional, the flow field is compressible…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-04 Enrico Calzavarini , Silvia C. Hirata

A thermal convection loop is a circular chamber filled with water, heated on the bottom half and cooled on the top half. With sufficiently large forcing of heat, the direction of fluid flow in the loop oscillates chaotically, forming an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Andrew J. Reagan

We present mesoscale numerical simulations of Rayleigh-B\'enard (RB) convection in a two-dimensional model emulsion. The systems under study are constituted of finite-size droplets, whose concentration Phi_0 is systematically varied from…

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

The non-hydrostatic, quasigeostrophic approximation for rapidly rotating Rayleigh-B\'enard convection admits a class of exact `single mode' solutions. These solutions correspond to steady laminar convection with a separable structure…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-03 Ian Grooms

The detailed knowledge of the inner skin temperature behavior is very important to evaluate and manage the aging of large pipes in cooling systems. We describe here a method to obtain this information as a function of outer skin temperature…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-04-30 Jean-Philippe Argaud , Bertrand Bouriquet , Aimery Assire , Stéphane Gervais