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We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

A novel approach is suggested for improving the accuracy of fault detection in distribution networks. This technique combines adaptive probability learning and waveform decomposition to optimize the similarity of features. Its objective is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Xinliang Ma , Weihua Liu , Bingying Jin

A striking result of [Acharya et al. 2017] showed that to estimate symmetric properties of discrete distributions, plugging in the distribution that maximizes the likelihood of observed multiset of frequencies, also known as the profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Yanjun Han , Kirankumar Shiragur

We address the problem of estimating the expected shortfall risk of a financial loss using a finite number of i.i.d. data. It is well known that the classical plug-in estimator suffers from poor statistical performance when faced with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-13 Daniel Bartl , Stephan Eckstein

In many problems in data mining and machine learning, data items that need to be clustered or classified are not points in a high-dimensional space, but are distributions (points on a high dimensional simplex). For distributions, natural…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Sudipto Guha , Andrew McGregor , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

We propose a new approach for estimating the parameters of a probability distribution. It consists on combining two new methods of estimation. The first is based on the definition of a new distance measuring the difference between…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-30 Ahmed Guellil , Tewfik Kernane

Analysis of a probabilistic system often requires to learn the joint probability distribution of its random variables. The computation of the exact distribution is usually an exhaustive precise analysis on all executions of the system. To…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Fabrizio Biondi , Yusuke Kawamoto , Axel Legay , Louis-Marie Traonouez

This paper introduces a class of k-nearest neighbor ($k$-NN) estimators called bipartite plug-in (BPI) estimators for estimating integrals of non-linear functions of a probability density, such as Shannon entropy and R\'enyi entropy. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Kumar Sricharan , Raviv Raich , Alfred O. Hero

This paper investigates the large sample properties of local regression distribution estimators, which include a class of boundary adaptive density estimators as a prime example. First, we establish a pointwise Gaussian large sample…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Linear regression with normally distributed errors - including particular cases such as ANOVA, Student's t-test or location-scale inference - is a widely used statistical procedure. In this case the ordinary least squares estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Alain Desgagné

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

In estimation a parameter $\theta\in{\mathbb R}$ from a sample $(x_1,\ldots,x_n)$ from a population $P_{\theta}$ a simple way of incorporating a new observation $x_{n+1}$ into an estimator $\tilde\theta_{n} =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Abram M. Kagan

Motivated by better modeling of intra-individual variability in longitudinal data, we propose a class of location-scale mixed effects models, in which the data of each individual is modeled by a parameter-varying generalized hyperbolic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Yuki Fujinaga , Hiroki Masuda

The parameters of the log-logistic distribution are generally estimated based on classical methods such as maximum likelihood estimation, whereas these methods usually result in severe biased estimates when the data contain outliers. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-16 Zhuanzhuan Ma , Min Wang , Chanseok Park

This paper considers the estimation of Shannon entropy for discrete distributions with countably infinite support. While minimax rates for finite-support distributions are established, infinite-support distributions present distinct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Octavio César Mesner

Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs

Two semimetrics on probability distributions are proposed, given as the sum of differences of expectations of analytic functions evaluated at spatial or frequency locations (i.e, features). The features are chosen so as to maximize the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-31 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Zoltan Szabo , Kacper Chwialkowski , Arthur Gretton

We consider the problem of estimating smooth integrated functionals of a monotone nonincreasing density $f$ on $[0,\infty)$ using the nonparametric maximum likelihood based plug-in estimator. We find the exact asymptotic distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

Statistical pragmatism embraces all efficient methods in statistical inference. Augmentation of the collected data is used herein to obtain representative population information from a large class of non-representative population's units.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Yannis G. Yatracos

Performative prediction characterizes environments where predictive models alter the very data distributions they aim to forecast, triggering complex feedback loops. While prior research treats single-agent and multi-agent performativity as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-04 Zhixian Zhang , Xiaotian Hou , Linjun Zhang