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Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Chelsea Sidrane , Dylan J Fitzpatrick , Andrew Annex , Diane O'Donoghue , Yarin Gal , Piotr Biliński

In recent years, the paradigms of data-driven science have become essential components of physical sciences, particularly in geophysical disciplines such as climatology. The field of hydrology is one of these disciplines where machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Martin Gauch , Jimmy Lin

Accurate and scalable hydrologic models are essential building blocks of several important applications, from water resource management to timely flood warnings. However, as the climate changes, precipitation and rainfall-runoff pattern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Zach Moshe , Asher Metzger , Gal Elidan , Frederik Kratzert , Sella Nevo , Ran El-Yaniv

Hydraulic geometry parameters describing river hydrogeomorphic is important for flood forecasting. Although well-established, power-law hydraulic geometry curves have been widely used to understand riverine systems and mapping flooding…

Hydroelectric power generation is a critical component of the global energy matrix, particularly in countries like Brazil, where it represents the majority of the energy supply. However, its strong dependence on river discharges, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julio Alberto Silva Dias

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jared D. Willard , Charuleka Varadharajan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

In hydrology, modeling streamflow remains a challenging task due to the limited availability of basin characteristics information such as soil geology and geomorphology. These characteristics may be noisy due to measurement errors or may be…

Data-driven flood forecasting methods are useful, especially for the rivers that lack hydrological information to build physical models. Although these former methods can forecast river stages using only past water levels and rainfall data,…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-07 Shunya Okuno , Koji Ikeuchi , Kazuyuki Aihara

This paper proposes a physics-guided machine learning approach that combines advanced machine learning models and physics-based models to improve the prediction of water flow and temperature in river networks. We first build a recurrent…

The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Quentin Bonassies , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque , Kevin Marlis , Cédric David

Joint models are a common and important tool in the intersection of machine learning and the physical sciences, particularly in contexts where real-world measurements are scarce. Recent developments in rainfall-runoff modeling, one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Guy Shalev , Ran El-Yaniv , Daniel Klotz , Frederik Kratzert , Asher Metzger , Sella Nevo

The astounding success of these methods has made it imperative to obtain more explainable and trustworthy estimates from these models. In hydrology, basin characteristics can be noisy or missing, impacting streamflow prediction. For solving…

Predictive uncertainty in hydrological modelling is quantified by using post-processing or Bayesian-based methods. The former methods are not straightforward and the latter ones are not distribution-free (i.e. assumptions on the probability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

The application of Machine Learning (ML) to hydrologic modeling is fledgling. Its applicability to capture the dependencies on watersheds to forecast better within a short period is fascinating. One of the key reasons to adopt ML algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Supath Dhital

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Muhammed Sit , Ibrahim Demir

Effective riverine flood forecasting at scale is hindered by a multitude of factors, most notably the need to rely on human calibration in current methodology, the limited amount of data for a specific location, and the computational…

Despite the necessity for accurate flood prediction, many regions lack sufficient river discharge observations. Although numerous models for daily river discharge prediction exist, achieving high accuracy, interpretability, and efficiency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Mizuki Funato , Yohei Sawada

Accurate short-term streamflow and flood forecasting are critical for mitigating river flood impacts, especially given the increasing climate variability. Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting relies on large streamflow datasets…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Xiyu Pan , Neda Mohammadi , John E. Taylor

Simulating and predicting the water level/stage in river systems is essential for flood warnings, hydraulic operations, and flood mitigations. Physics-based detailed hydrological and hydraulic computational tools, such as HEC-RAS, MIKE, and…

Application of Neural Networks to river hydraulics is fledgling, despite the field suffering from data scarcity, a challenge for machine learning techniques. Consequently, many purely data-driven Neural Networks proved to lack predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Gianmarco Guglielmo , Andrea Montessori , Jean-Michel Tucny , Michele La Rocca , Pietro Prestininzi
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