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The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

We consider the problem of inferring an unknown number of clusters in replicated multinomial data. Under a model based clustering point of view, this task can be treated by estimating finite mixtures of multinomial distributions with or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

MM (majorization--minimization) algorithms are an increasingly popular tool for solving optimization problems in machine learning and statistical estimation. This article introduces the MM algorithm framework in general and via three…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-16 Hien D. Nguyen

Parameter estimation in logistic regression is a well-studied problem with the Newton-Raphson method being one of the most prominent optimization techniques used in practice. A number of monotone optimization methods including…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-11 Nicholas C. Henderson , Zhongzhe Ouyang

We give convergence guarantees for estimating the coefficients of a symmetric mixture of two linear regressions by expectation maximization (EM). In particular, we show that the empirical EM iterates converge to the target parameter vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-17 Jason M. Klusowski , Dana Yang , W. D. Brinda

Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Hieu Pham

Mixture models are a fundamental tool in applied statistics and machine learning for treating data taken from multiple subpopulations. The current practice for estimating the parameters of such models relies on local search heuristics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-07 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade

This report explores the application of machine learning techniques on short timeseries gene expression data. Although standard machine learning algorithms work well on longer time-series', they often fail to find meaningful insights from…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 Akankshita Dash

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm has been widely used in minimizing the negative log likelihood (also known as cross entropy) of mixture models. However, little is understood about the goodness of the fixed points it converges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Guojun Zhang , Pascal Poupart , George Trimponias

Cluster analysis faces two problems in high dimensions: first, the `curse of dimensionality' that can lead to overfitting and poor generalization performance; and second, the sheer time taken for conventional algorithms to process large…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-12 Shabnam N. Kadir , Dan F. M. Goodman , Kenneth D. Harris

In this letter, we revisit the problem of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of parameters of Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and show a new derivation for its parameters. The new derivation, unlike the classical approach employing the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-10 Nitesh Sahu , Prabhu Babu

The generalized persistence (GP) model, developed in the context of estimating ``value added'' by individual teachers to their students' current and future test scores, is one of the most flexible value-added models in the literature.…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-01 Andrew T. Karl , Yan Yang , Sharon L. Lohr

Robust clustering from incomplete data is an important topic because, in many practical situations, real data sets are heavy-tailed, asymmetric, and/or have arbitrary patterns of missing observations. Flexible methods and algorithms for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-13 Yuhong Wei , Yang Tang , Paul D. McNicholas

The performance of EM in learning mixtures of product distributions often depends on the initialization. This can be problematic in crowdsourcing and other applications, e.g. when a small number of 'experts' are diluted by a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-31 Vincent Zhao , Steven W. Zucker

We study modeling and inference with the Elliptical Gamma Distribution (EGD). We consider maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for EGD scatter matrices, a task for which we develop new fixed-point algorithms. Our algorithms are efficient and…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-04 Reshad Hosseini , Suvrit Sra , Lucas Theis , Matthias Bethge

We present a general method for fitting finite mixture models (FMM). Learning in a mixture model consists of finding the most likely cluster assignment for each data-point, as well as finding the parameters of the clusters themselves. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-20 Mathias Edman , Neil Dhir

In this contribution, we propose a generic online (also sometimes called adaptive or recursive) version of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm applicable to latent variable models of independent observations. Compared to the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-02 Olivier Cappé , Eric Moulines

Generalising the idea of the classical EM algorithm that is widely used for computing maximum likelihood estimates, we propose an EM-Control (EM-C) algorithm for solving multi-period finite time horizon stochastic control problems. The new…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Steven Kou , Xianhua Peng , Xingbo Xu

A new multivariate integer-valued Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic process based on a multivariate Poisson generalized inverse Gaussian distribution is proposed. The estimation of parameters of the proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yuhyeong Jang , Raanju R. Sundararajan , Wagner Barreto-Souza

We study the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for general latent-variable models under (i) distributional misspecification and (ii) nonidentifiability induced by a group action. We formulate EM on the quotient parameter space and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Koustav Mallik