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Staged trees are a relatively recent class of probabilistic graphical models that extend Bayesian networks to formally and graphically account for non-symmetric patterns of dependence. Machine learning algorithms to learn them from data…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-04 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

We propose a new model for augmenting algorithms with predictions by requiring that they are formally learnable and instance robust. Learnability ensures that predictions can be efficiently constructed from a reasonable amount of past data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , R. Ravi , Chenyang Xu

This paper is devoted to the theoretical study of the efficiency, namely, stability of some greedy algorithms. In the greedy approximation theory researchers are mostly interested in the following two important properties of an algorithm --…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-25 V. N. Temlyakov

Stability, akin to reproducibility, is crucial in statistical analysis. This paper examines the stability of sparse network inference in high-dimensional graphical models, where selected edges should remain consistent across different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Emilie Devijver , Rémi Molinier , Mélina Gallopin

Replicability is essential in science as it allows us to validate and verify research findings. Impagliazzo, Lei, Pitassi and Sorrell (`22) recently initiated the study of replicability in machine learning. A learning algorithm is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Zachary Chase , Shay Moran , Amir Yehudayoff

This paper presents a detailed comparison of a recently proposed algorithm for optimizing decision trees, tree alternating optimization (TAO), with other popular, established algorithms. We compare their performance on a number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Arman Zharmagambetov , Suryabhan Singh Hada , Miguel Á. Carreira-Perpiñán , Magzhan Gabidolla

Modern neural networks are undeniably successful. Numerous works study how the curvature of loss landscapes can affect the quality of solutions. In this work we study the loss landscape by considering the Hessian matrix during network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Lawrence Wang , Stephen Roberts

Understanding the dynamics of optimization in deep learning is increasingly important as models scale. While stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and its variants reliably find solutions that generalize well, the mechanisms driving this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Wei-Kai Chang , Rajiv Khanna

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

Many neural networks deployed in the real world scenarios are trained using cross entropy based loss functions. From the optimization perspective, it is known that the behavior of first order methods such as gradient descent crucially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Zhu Wang , Praveen Raj Veluswami , Harsh Mishra , Sathya N. Ravi

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

Decision tree optimization is notoriously difficult from a computational perspective but essential for the field of interpretable machine learning. Despite efforts over the past 40 years, only recently have optimization breakthroughs been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Jimmy Lin , Chudi Zhong , Diane Hu , Cynthia Rudin , Margo Seltzer

As a flexible nonparametric learning tool, the random forests algorithm has been widely applied to various real applications with appealing empirical performance, even in the presence of high-dimensional feature space. Unveiling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Chien-Ming Chi , Patrick Vossler , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

Reinforcement learning (RL) plays a crucial role in shaping the behavior of large language and reasoning models (LLMs/LRMs). However, it often produces brittle and unstable policies, leading to critical failures such as spurious reasoning,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Xingcheng Xu

The present paper provides a new generic strategy leading to non-asymptotic theoretical guarantees on the Leave-one-Out procedure applied to a broad class of learning algorithms. This strategy relies on two main ingredients: the new notion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-24 Alain Celisse , Benjamin Guedj

In recommender systems, users always choose the favorite items to rate, which leads to data missing not at random and poses a great challenge for unbiased evaluation and learning of prediction models. Currently, the doubly robust (DR)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Haoxuan Li , Chunyuan Zheng , Peng Wu

We consider the problem of PAC-learning decision trees, i.e., learning a decision tree over the n-dimensional hypercube from independent random labeled examples. Despite significant effort, no polynomial-time algorithm is known for learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-12-05 Adam Tauman Kalai , Shang-Hua Teng

Tree search algorithms, such as branch-and-bound, are the most widely used tools for solving combinatorial and nonconvex problems. For example, they are the foremost method for solving (mixed) integer programs and constraint satisfaction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Maria-Florina Balcan , Travis Dick , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik

Forecast stability, that is, the consistency of predictions over time, is essential in business settings where sudden shifts in forecasts can disrupt planning and erode trust in predictive systems. Despite its importance, stability is often…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-11 Marco Zanotti