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The paper is split in two parts: in the first part, we construct the exact likelihood for a discretely observed rough differential equation, driven by a piecewise linear path. In the second part, we use this likelihood in order to construct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Anastasia Papavasiliou , Kasia B. Taylor

The paper presents a general theory of coupling of eigenvalues of complex matrices of arbitrary dimension depending on real parameters. The cases of weak and strong coupling are distinguished and their geometric interpretation in two and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. A. Mailybaev , O. N. Kirillov , A. P. Seyranian

To construct models of large, multivariate complex systems, such as those in biology, one needs to constrain which variables are allowed to interact. This can be viewed as detecting "local" structures among the variables. In the context of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-10-19 Mahajabin Rahman , Ilya Nemenman

The most fundamental problem in statistics is the inference of an unknown probability distribution from a finite number of samples. For a specific observed data set, answers to the following questions would be desirable: (1) Estimation:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Ali Kinkhabwala

Uncoupled regression is the problem to learn a model from unlabeled data and the set of target values while the correspondence between them is unknown. Such a situation arises in predicting anonymized targets that involve sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Liyuan Xu , Junya Honda , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

When both the difference between two quantities and their individual values can be measured or computational predicted, multiple quantities can be determined from the measurements or predictions of select individual quantities and select…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-24 Huafeng Xu

In the "correlated sampling" problem, two players are given probability distributions $P$ and $Q$, respectively, over the same finite set, with access to shared randomness. Without any communication, the two players are each required to…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Mohammad Bavarian , Badih Ghazi , Elad Haramaty , Pritish Kamath , Ronald L. Rivest , Madhu Sudan

Given a set of independent Poisson random variables with common mean, we study the distribution of their maximum and obtain an accurate asymptotic formula to locate the most probable value of the maximum. We verify our analytic results with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-26 K. M. Briggs , L. Song , T. Prellberg

We present an assessment of the distance in total variation of \textit{arbitrary} collection of prime factor multiplicities of a random number in $[n]=\{1,\dots, n\}$ and a collection of independent geometric random variables. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Louis H. Y. Chen , Arturo Jaramillo , Xiaochuan Yang

We prove that the distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with arbitrary means and arbitrary variances is infinitely divisible. We also obtain exact formulas for the probability density function of the sum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Robert E. Gaunt , Saralees Nadarajah , Tibor K. Pogány

In this note we put forward a conjecture on the average optimal length for bipartite matching with a finite number of elements where the different lengths are independent one from the others and have an exponential distribution.

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Giorgio Parisi

Supporting sampling in the presence of joins is an important problem in data analysis, but is inherently challenging due to the need to avoid correlation between output tuples. Current solutions provide either correlated or non-correlated…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-02-15 Niranjan Kamat , Arnab Nandi

General Probabilistic Theories provide the most general mathematical framework for the theory of probability in an operationally natural manner, and generalize classical and quantum theories. In this article, we study state-discrimination…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-09-15 Koji Nuida , Gen Kimura , Takayuki Miyadera

It is well-known that assumptions of monotonicity in size-bias couplings may be used to prove simple, yet powerful, Poisson approximation results. Here we show how these assumptions may be relaxed, establishing explicit Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Fraser Daly , Oliver Johnson

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

For two independent, almost surely finite random variables, independence of their minimum (time) and the event that one of them is either greater, equal or less than the other (cause) is completely characterized. It is shown that, other…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Offer Kella

Vocabulary learning by children can be characterized by many biases. When encountering a new word, children as well as adults, are biased towards assuming that it means something totally different from the words that they already know. To…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Ramon Ferrer-i-Cancho

Maximum likelihood principle is shown to be the best measure for relating the experimental data with the predictions of quantum theory.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Z. Hradil , J. Summhammer

We propose the use of two point Pade approximants to find expressions valid uniformly in coupling constant for theories with both weak and strong coupling expansions. In particular, one can use these approximants in models with a…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-08-15 Tom Banks , T. J. Torres

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel
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