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Trajectory optimization and model predictive control are essential techniques underpinning advanced robotic applications, ranging from autonomous driving to full-body humanoid control. State-of-the-art algorithms have focused on data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-15 Hany Abdulsamad , Tim Dorau , Boris Belousov , Jia-Jie Zhu , Jan Peters

We present a novel, input-output data-driven approach to uncertainty model identification. As the true bounds and distributions of system uncertainties ultimately remain unknown, we depart from the goal of identifying the uncertainty model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-29 Jannes Hühnerbein , Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

Identifying uncertainty and taking mitigating actions is crucial for safe and trustworthy reinforcement learning agents, especially when deployed in high-risk environments. In this paper, risk sensitivity is promoted in a model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Stefan Radic Webster , Peter Flach

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

We consider a typical learning problem of point estimations for modeling of nonlinear functions or dynamical systems in which generalization, i.e., verifying a given learned model, can be embedded as an integral part of the learning process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Getachew K. Befekadu

A common way to learn and analyze statistical models is to consider operations in the model parameter space. But what happens if we optimize in the parameter space and there is no one-to-one mapping between the parameter space and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Pascal Mattia Esser , Frank Nielsen

An aggregated method of nonparametric estimators based on time-domain and state-domain estimators is proposed and studied. To attenuate the curse of dimensionality, we propose a factor modeling strategy. We first investigate the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

A typical situation in competing risks analysis is that the researcher is only interested in a subset of risks. This paper considers a depending competing risks model with the distribution of one risk being a parametric or semi-parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke

We consider the problem of constructing nonparametric undirected graphical models for high-dimensional functional data. Most existing statistical methods in this context assume either a Gaussian distribution on the vertices or linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-22 Eftychia Solea , Holger Dette

This paper proposes risk-averse and risk-agnostic formulations to robust design in which solutions that satisfy the system requirements for a set of scenarios are pursued. These scenarios, which correspond to realizations of uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Luis G. Crespo , Bret Stanford , Natalia Alexandrov

We present an algorithm for robust model predictive control with consideration of uncertainty and safety constraints. Our framework considers a nonlinear dynamical system subject to disturbances from an unknown but bounded uncertainty set.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Dongchan Lee , Konstantin Turitsyn , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

We consider the model of nonregular nonparametric regression where smoothness constraints are imposed on the regression function $f$ and the regression errors are assumed to decay with some sharpness level at their endpoints. The aim of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Moritz Jirak , Alexander Meister , Markus Reiß

This paper offers a critical view of the "worst-case" approach that is the cornerstone of robust control design. It is our contention that a blind acceptance of worst-case scenarios may lead to designs that are actually more dangerous than…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen , Jorge Aravena , Kemin Zhou

In the context of nonparametric regression, we study conditions under which the consistency (and rates of convergence) of estimators built from discretely sampled curves can be derived from the consistency of estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Forzani Liliana , Fraiman Ricardo , Llop Pamela

We consider the problem where a modeller conducts sensitivity analysis of a model consisting of random input factors, a corresponding random output of interest, and a baseline probability measure. The modeller seeks to understand how the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-01 Silvana M. Pesenti

We study non-parametric regression estimates for random fields. The data satisfies certain strong mixing conditions and is defined on the regular $N$-dimensional lattice structure. We show consistency and obtain rates of convergence. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-06 Johannes T. N. Krebs