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Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

Click models are an important tool for leveraging user feedback, and are used by commercial search engines for surfacing relevant search results. However, existing click models are lacking in two aspects. First, they do not share…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Dinesh Govindaraj , Tao Wang , S. V. N. Vishwanathan

Many event sequence data exhibit mutually exciting or inhibiting patterns. Reliable detection of such temporal dependency is crucial for scientific investigation. The de facto model is the Multivariate Hawkes Process (MHP), whose impact…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-31 Yu Chen , Fengpei Li , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Asohan Amarasingham , Henry Lam

Learning the influence structure of multiple time series data is of great interest to many disciplines. This paper studies the problem of recovering the causal structure in network of multivariate linear Hawkes processes. In such processes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang , Kushagra Singhal

The Hawkes process has become a standard method for modeling self-exciting event sequences with different event types. A recent work has generalized the Hawkes process to a neurally self-modulating multivariate point process, which enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Zhen Han , Yunpu Ma , Yuyi Wang , Stephan Günnemann , Volker Tresp

Link prediction models are increasingly used to recommend interactions in evolving networks, yet their impact on network structure is typically assessed from static snapshots. In particular, observed homophily conflates intrinsic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Mathilde Perez , Raphaël Romero , Jefrey Lijffijt , Charlotte Laclau

Event history data from sports competitions have recently drawn increasing attention in sports analytics to generate data-driven strategies. Such data often exhibit self-excitation in the event occurrence and dependence within event…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 K. Ken Peng , X. Joan Hu , Tim B. Swartz

We consider a sequential decision making problem where the agent faces the environment characterized by the stochastic discrete events and seeks an optimal intervention policy such that its long-term reward is maximized. This problem exists…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Chao Qu , Xiaoyu Tan , Siqiao Xue , Xiaoming Shi , James Zhang , Hongyuan Mei

Joint-event-extraction, which extracts structural information (i.e., entities or triggers of events) from unstructured real-world corpora, has attracted more and more research attention in natural language processing. Most existing works do…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Yue Wang , Zhuo Xu , Lu Bai , Yao Wan , Lixin Cui , Qian Zhao , Edwin R. Hancock , Philip S. Yu

Mobile health applications, including those that track activities such as exercise, sleep, and diet, are becoming widely used. Accurately predicting human actions is essential for targeted recommendations that could improve our health and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Takeshi Kurashima , Tim Althoff , Jure Leskovec

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

Efforts to model viral cascades provide a vital view into how they form and spread. A range of methods, such as Multivariate Hawkes Processes or network inference algorithms, attempt to decompose cascades into constituent components via…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Nick Hagar , Laila Wahedi , Eric Dunford

Sequences of events including infectious disease outbreaks, social network activities, and crimes are ubiquitous and the data on such events carry essential information about the underlying diffusion processes between communities (e.g.,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata , Yusuke Tanaka , Hiroyuki Toda , Takeshi Kurashima , Hisashi Kashima

Temporal networks are characterised by interdependent link events between nodes, forming ordered sequences of links that may represent specific information flows in the system. Nevertheless, representing temporal networks using discrete…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Yuwei Zhu , Paolo Barucca

Behavior prediction based on historical behavioral data have practical real-world significance. It has been applied in recommendation, predicting academic performance, etc. With the refinement of user data description, the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Haobing Liu , Yanmin Zhu , Chunyang Wang , Jianyu Ding , Jiadi Yu , Feilong Tang

Joint Models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have gained a lot of attention in the last few years as they are a helpful technique to approach common a data structure in clinical studies where longitudinal outcomes are recorded…

Incorporating Search and Recommendation (S&R) services within a singular application is prevalent in online platforms, leading to a new task termed open-app motivation prediction, which aims to predict whether users initiate the application…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Zhongxiang Sun , Zihua Si , Xiao Zhang , Xiaoxue Zang , Yang Song , Hongteng Xu , Jun Xu

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

People are increasingly relying on the Web and social media to find solutions to their problems in a wide range of domains. In this online setting, closely related problems often lead to the same characteristic learning pattern, in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-20 Charalampos Mavroforakis , Isabel Valera , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

Recent technological advances have made it easier to collect large and complex networks of time-stamped relational events connecting two or more entities. Relational hyper-event models (RHEMs) aim to explain the dynamics of these events by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Martina Boschi , Jürgen Lerner , Ernst C. Wit