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Averaging predictions from multiple competing inferential models frequently outperforms predictions from any single model, providing that models are optimally weighted to maximize predictive performance. This is particularly the case in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Nathaniel Haines , Conor Goold

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical results obtained for extreme structural models in earlier attempts are reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces which, for homoscedastic data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-17 R. Caimmi

Multivariate binary data is becoming abundant in current biological research. Logistic principal component analysis (PCA) is one of the commonly used tools to explore the relationships inside a multivariate binary data set by exploiting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Yipeng Song , Johan A. Westerhuis , Age K. Smilde

This work addresses the problem of high-dimensional classification by exploring the generalized Bayesian logistic regression method under a sparsity-inducing prior distribution. The method involves utilizing a fractional power of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-20 The Tien Mai

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

Model selection is indispensable to high-dimensional sparse modeling in selecting the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the model is correctly specified or of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Pallavi Basu , Yang Feng , Jinchi Lv

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

We introduce a new principle for model selection in regression and classification. Many regression models are controlled by some smoothness or flexibility or complexity parameter c, e.g. the number of neighbors to be averaged over in k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-25 Marcus Hutter

Logistic regression models with $n$ observations and $q$ linearly-independent covariates are shown to have Fisher information volumes which are bounded below by $\pi^q$ and above by ${n \choose q} \pi^q$. This is proved with a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-20 James G. Dowty

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

This paper presents a novel method to make statistical inferences for both the model support and regression coefficients in a high-dimensional logistic regression model. Our method is based on the repro samples framework, in which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Xiaotian Hou , Linjun Zhang , Peng Wang , Min-ge Xie

This study aims to show the fundamental difference between logistic regression and Bayesian classifiers in the case of exponential and unexponential families of distributions, yielding the following findings. First, the logistic regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-10 Roman V. Kirin

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

Standard regression approaches assume that some finite number of the response distribution characteristics, such as location and scale, change as a (parametric or nonparametric) function of predictors. However, it is not always appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Fernand A. Quintana , Peter Mueller , Alejandro Jara , Steven N. MacEachern

Relational query optimisers rely on cost models to choose between different query execution plans. Selectivity estimates are known to be a crucial input to the cost model. In practice, standard selectivity estimation procedures are prone to…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Max Halford , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Franck Morvan

Complex systems are characterised by a tight, nontrivial interplay of their constituents, which gives rise to a multi-scale spectrum of emergent properties. In this scenario, it is practically and conceptually difficult to identify those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-19 Roi Holtzman , Marco Giulini , Raffaello Potestio

Model selection is an indispensable part of data analysis dealing very frequently with fitting and prediction purposes. In this paper, we tackle the problem of model selection in a general linear regression where the parameter matrix…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-19 Prakash B. Gohain , Magnus Jansson

Minimization of the (regularized) entropy of classification probabilities is a versatile class of discriminative clustering methods. The classification probabilities are usually defined through the use of some classical losses from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Edouard Genetay , Adrien Saumard , Rémi Coulaud

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

Variable selection in linear regression models has been a problem since hypothesis testing began. Which variables to include or exclude from a model is not an easy task. Techniques such as Forward, Back ward, Stepwise Regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 By Riyadh Alrawkan , Edward Boone , Ryad Ghanam , Anton Westveld