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A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

In this work, we study a natural nonparametric estimator of the transition probability matrices of a finite controlled Markov chain. We consider an offline setting with a fixed dataset, collected using a so-called logging policy. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Imon Banerjee , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak Rao

We consider the two-dimensional simple random walk conditioned on never hitting the origin. This process is a Markov chain, namely it is the Doob $h$-transform of the simple random walk with respect to the potential kernel. It is known to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Nina Gantert , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

For a stochastically monotone Markov chain taking values in a Polish space, we present a number of conditions for existence and for uniqueness of its stationary regime, as well as for closeness of its transient trajectories. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow

We consider a class of optimal control problems, with finite or infinite horizon, for a continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space. In this case, the control process affects the transition rates. We suppose that the controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

Random walks on simple graphs in connection with electrical resistor networks lead to the definition of Markov chains with transition probability matrix in terms of electrical conductances. We extend this definition to an effective…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-20 Nelson Augusto Alves

We introduce a new framework that yields spectral bounds on norms of functions of transition maps for finite, homogeneous Markov chains. The techniques employed work for bounded semigroups, in particular for classical as well as for quantum…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-16 Oleg Szehr , David Reeb , Michael M. Wolf

We prove a large deviation principle on path space for a class of discrete time Markov processes whose state space is the intersection of a regular domain $\L\subset \R^d$ with some lattice of spacing $\e$. Transitions from $x$ to $y$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Veronique Gayrard

We extend Hoeffding's lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let $\{X_i\}_{i \ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $\pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-\lambda$, where $\lambda$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

We consider the problem of identity testing of Markov chain transition matrices based on a single trajectory of observations under the distance notion introduced by Daskalakis et al. [2018a] and further analyzed by Cherapanamjeri and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Sela Fried , Geoffrey Wolfer

Multiple works regarding convergence analysis of Markov chains have led to spectral gap decomposition formulas of the form \[ \mathrm{Gap}(S) \geq c_0 \left[\inf_z \mathrm{Gap}(Q_z)\right] \mathrm{Gap}(\bar{S}), \] where $c_0$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Qian Qin

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

A stable-like Markov chain is a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with the transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law decay with exponent $\alpha(x)+1$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Nikola Sandrić

The aim of this note is to present an elementary proof of a variation of Harris' ergodic theorem of Markov chains. This theorem, dating back to the fifties essentially states that a Markov chain is uniquely ergodic if it admits a ``small''…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-16 Martin Hairer , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We develop a criterion for transience for a general model of branching Markov chains. In the case of multi-dimensional branching random walk in random environment (BRWRE) this criterion becomes explicit. In particular, we show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-12 Sebastian Müller

Expanding upon the rich history of algebraic techniques in probability, we show the existence of and construct a Markov chain using the Hopf square map on a quantum group that is both non-commutative and non-cocommutative. This extends the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Donovan Snyder

We consider Markov chains that obey the following general non-linear state space model: $\Phi_{k+1} = F(\Phi_k, \alpha(\Phi_k, U_{k+1}))$ where the function $F$ is $C^1$ while $\alpha$ is typically discontinuous and $\{U_k: k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger

We study convergence to equilibrium for a large class of Markov chains in random environment. The chains are sparse in the sense that in every row of the transition matrix $P$ the mass is essentially concentrated on few entries. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

We consider irreversible Markov chains on finite commutative rings randomly generated using both addition and multiplication. We restrict ourselves to the case where the addition is uniformly random and multiplication is arbitrary. We first…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Arvind Ayyer , Pooja Singla