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An important goal of empirical demand analysis is choice and welfare prediction on counterfactual budget sets arising from potential policy-interventions. Such predictions are more credible when made without arbitrary…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-02 Debopam Bhattacharya

Economic theory implies strong limitations on what types of consumption behavior are considered rational. Rationality implies that the Slutsky matrix, which captures the substitution effects of compensated price changes on demand for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-11 Florian Gunsilius , Lonjezo Sithole

We generalize the stochastic revealed preference methodology of McFadden and Richter (1990) for finite choice sets to settings with limited consideration. Our approach is nonparametric and requires partial choice set variation. We impose a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-19 Nail Kashaev , Victor H. Aguiar

We obtain a necessary and sufficient condition under which random-coefficient discrete choice models, such as mixed-logit models, are rich enough to approximate any nonparametric random utility models arbitrarily well across choice sets.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Haoge Chang , Yusuke Narita , Kota Saito

We bound features of counterfactual choices in the nonparametric random utility model of demand, i.e. if observable choices are repeated cross-sections and one allows for unrestricted, unobserved heterogeneity. In this setting, tight bounds…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Yuichi Kitamura , Jörg Stoye

This paper uncovers tight bounds on the number of preferences permissible in identified random utility models. We show that as the number of alternatives in a discrete choice model becomes large, the fraction of preferences admissible in an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-03 Christopher P. Chambers , Christopher Turansick

Slutsky symmetry and negative semidefiniteness are necessary and sufficient conditions for the rationality of demand functions. While the empirical implications of Slutsky negative semidefiniteness in repeated cross-sectional demand data…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-29 Haruki Kono

Sample selection is pervasive in applied economic studies. This paper develops semiparametric selection models that achieve point identification without relying on exclusion restrictions, an assumption long believed necessary for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-11 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee

We analyze demand settings where heterogeneous consumers maximize utility for product attributes subject to a nonlinear budget constraint. We develop nonparametric methods for welfare-analysis of interventions that change the constraint.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-05 Debopam Bhattacharya , Ekaterina Oparina , Qianya Xu

The random utility model, a cornerstone in economics, is axiomatized by Falmagne (1978) and McFadden and Richter (1990) with the assumption that if a menu is observable, the choice frequencies of all alternatives are also observable.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-07 Haruki Kono , Kota Saito , Alec Sandroni

We consider the problem of rationalizing choice data by a preference satisfying an arbitrary collection of invariance axioms. Examples of such axioms include quasilinearity, homotheticity, independence-type axioms for mixture spaces,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-09 Peter Caradonna , Christopher P. Chambers

We characterize those ex-ante restrictions on the random utility model which lead to identification. We first identify a simple class of perturbations which transfer mass from a suitable pair of preferences to the pair formed by swapping…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-14 Peter P. Caradonna , Christopher Turansick

To answer questions of "causes of effects", the probability of necessity is introduced for assessing whether or not an observed outcome was caused by an earlier treatment. However, the statistical inference for probability of necessity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Ping Zhang , Ruoyu Wang , Wang Miao

We study a method for calculating the utility function from a candidate of a demand function that is not differentiable, but is locally Lipschitz. Using this method, we obtain two new necessary and sufficient conditions for a candidate of a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-02 Yuhki Hosoya

This paper develops and implements a nonparametric test of Random Utility Models. The motivating application is to test the null hypothesis that a sample of cross-sectional demand distributions was generated by a population of rational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Yuichi Kitamura , Jörg Stoye

Probabilistic independence can dramatically simplify the task of eliciting, representing, and computing with probabilities in large domains. A key technique in achieving these benefits is the idea of graphical modeling. We survey existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Fahiem Bacchus , Adam J. Grove

This paper proposes a new semi-parametric identification and estimation approach to multinomial choice models in a panel data setting with individual fixed effects. Our approach is based on cyclic monotonicity, which is a defining feature…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Xiaoxia Shi , Matthew Shum , Wei Song

This paper proposes a robust method for semiparametric identification and estimation in panel multinomial choice models, where we allow for infinite-dimensional fixed effects that enter into consumer utilities in an additively nonseparable…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Wayne Yuan Gao , Ming Li

In a consideration set model, an individual maximizes utility among the considered alternatives. I relate a consideration set additive random utility model to classic discrete choice and the extended additive random utility model, in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Roy Allen

We provide sufficient conditions under which a utility function may be recovered from a finite choice experiment. Identification, as is commonly understood in decision theory, is not enough. We provide a general recoverability result that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-30 Christopher P. Chambers , Federico Echenique , Nicolas S. Lambert
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