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The problem of estimating high-dimensional network models arises naturally in the analysis of many physical, biological and socio-economic systems. Examples include stock price fluctuations in financial markets and gene regulatory networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-09 Sumanta Basu , Ali Shojaie , George Michailidis

This paper studies high-dimensional regression models with lasso when data is sampled under multi-way clustering. First, we establish convergence rates for the lasso and post-lasso estimators. Second, we propose a novel inference method…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-22 Harold D. Chiang , Yuya Sasaki

Granger causality (GC) is often considered not an actual form of causality. Still, it is arguably the most widely used method to assess the predictability of a time series from another one. Granger causality has been widely used in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux , Jordi Cerdà , Gustau Camps-Valls

Trivariate Granger causality analysis seeks to distinguish between "true" causality and "spurious" causality results from the topology of the system. However, this analysis is sensitive both to the choice of test criteria and the presence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-18 Leo Carlos-Sandberg , Christopher D. Clack

Among the most popular variable selection procedures in high-dimensional regression, Lasso provides a solution path to rank the variables and determines a cut-off position on the path to select variables and estimate coefficients. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 X. Jessie Jeng , Huimin Peng , Wenbin Lu

Generalized Linear Models (GLM) form a wide class of regression and classification models, where prediction is a function of a linear combination of the input variables. For statistical inference in high dimension, sparsity inducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Mathurin Massias , Samuel Vaiter , Alexandre Gramfort , Joseph Salmon

Dynamical systems comprising of multiple components that can be partitioned into distinct blocks originate in many scientific areas. A pertinent example is the interactions between financial assets and selected macroeconomic indicators,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-22 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

This paper proposes a new approach for testing Granger non-causality on panel data. Instead of aggregating panel member statistics, we aggregate their corresponding p-values and show that the resulting p-value approximately bounds the type…

Computing Granger causal relations among bivariate experimentally observed time series has received increasing attention over the past few years. Such causal relations, if correctly estimated, can yield significant insights into the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Hariharan Nalatore , Govindan Rangarajan , Mingzhou Ding

This paper is motivated by studies in neuroscience experiments to understand interactions between nodes in a brain network using different types of data modalities that capture different distinct facets of brain activity. To assess…

Maximum likelihood estimation of large Markov-switching vector autoregressions (MS-VARs) can be challenging or infeasible due to parameter proliferation. To accommodate situations where dimensionality may be of comparable order to or…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-28 Kenwin Maung

Understanding the dynamics of functional brain connectivity patterns using noninvasive neuroimaging techniques is an important focus in human neuroscience. Vector autoregressive (VAR) processes and Granger causality analysis (GCA) have been…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-16 Jingjing Fan , Kevin Sitek , Bharath Chandrasekaran , Abhra Sarkar

Inferring causal relationships in observational time series data is an important task when interventions cannot be performed. Granger causality is a popular framework to infer potential causal mechanisms between different time series. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

This article investigates uncertainty quantification of the generalized linear lasso~(GLL), a popular variable selection method in high-dimensional regression settings. In many fields of study, researchers use data-driven methods to select…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro

A model-free measure of Granger causality in expectiles is proposed, generalizing the traditional mean-based measure to arbitrary positions of the conditional distribution. Expectiles are the only law-invariant risk measures that are both…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-25 Roberto Fuentes-Martínez , Irene Crimaldi

While most classical approaches to Granger causality detection repose upon linear time series assumptions, many interactions in neuroscience and economics applications are nonlinear. We develop an approach to nonlinear Granger causality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Alex Tank , Ian Cover , Nicholas J. Foti , Ali Shojaie , Emily B. Fox

This paper proposes a novel method (GLS Granger test) to determine causal relationships between time series based on the estimation of the autocovariance matrix and generalized least squares. We show the effectiveness of proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Hugo J. Bello

Granger causal inference is a contentious but widespread method used in fields ranging from economics to neuroscience. The original definition addresses the notion of causality in time series by establishing functional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

Granger causality is popular for analyzing time series data in many applications from natural science to social science including genomics, neuroscience, economics, and finance. Consequently, the Granger causality test has become one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 Yongchang Hui , Chijin Liu , Xiaojun Song

Linear Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) models where the innovations could be unconditionally heteroscedastic and serially dependent are considered. The volatility structure is deterministic and quite general, including breaks or trending…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-07-09 Valentin Patilea , Hamdi Raïssi