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Covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes is analyzed in an asymptotic framework. The spatial sampling is a randomly perturbed regular grid and its deviation from the perfect regular grid is controlled by a single scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-09 François Bachoc

A random flight on a plane with non-isotropic displacements at the moments of direction changes is considered. In the case of exponentially distributed flight lengths a Gaussian limit theorem is proved for the position of a particle in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mark Kelbert , Enzo Orsingher

We consider the following frustrated optimization problem: given a prior probability distribution $q$, find the distribution $p$ minimizing the relative entropy with respect to $q$ such that $\textrm{mean}(p)$ is fixed and large. We show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-06 Matteo Smerlak

We examine a class of stochastic differential inclusions involving multiscale effects designed to solve a class of generalized variational inequalities. This class of problems contains constrained convex non-smooth optimization problems,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-23 D. Russell Luke , Johannes-Carl Schnebel , Mathias Staudigl , Juan Peypouquet , Siqi Qu

The purpose of this paper is to review and highlight some connections between the problem of nonlinear smoothing and optimal control of the Liouville equation. The latter has been an active area of recent research interest owing to work in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Jin W. Kim , Prashant G. Mehta

We consider small-time asymptotics for diffusion processes conditioned by their initial and final positions, under the assumption that the diffusivity has a sub-Riemannian structure, not necessarily of constant rank. We show that, if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Ismael Bailleul , Laurent Mesnager , James Norris

Change-point models are widely used by statisticians to model drastic changes in the pattern of observed data. Least squares/maximum likelihood based estimation of change-points leads to curious asymptotic phenomena. When the change-point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Rui Song , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Gaussian processes are widely employed as versatile modelling and predictive tools in spatial statistics, functional data analysis, computer modelling and diverse applications of machine learning. They have been widely studied over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Didong Li , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

This paper concerns the approximation of probability measures on $\mathbf{R}^d$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Given an admissible target measure, we show the existence of the best approximation, with respect to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of solutions of Hamilton-Jacobi equations with large drift term in an open subset of two-dimensional Euclidean space. When the drift is given by $\varepsilon^{-1} (H_{x_2}, -H_{x_1})$ of a Hamiltonian…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Taiga Kumagai

We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

In this article, for some $d-$dimensional Gaussian processes \[X=\big\{X_t=(X^1_t,\cdots,X^d_t):t\ge0\big\},\] whose components are i.i.d. $1-$dimensional self-similar Gaussian process with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Minhao Hong

We investigate minimax testing for detecting local signals or linear combinations of such signals when only indirect data is available. Naturally, in the presence of noise, signals that are too small cannot be reliably detected. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Markus Pohlmann , Frank Werner , Axel Munk

It is well known that symplectic methods have been rigorously shown to be superior to non-symplectic ones especially in long-time computation, when applied to deterministic Hamiltonian systems. In this paper, we attempt to study the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Chuchu Chen , Jialin Hong , Diancong Jin , Liying Sun

The main goal of this article is to study the effect of small, highly nonlinear, unbounded drifts (small time large deviation principle (LDP) based on exponential equivalence arguments) for a class of stochastic partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Ankit Kumar , Manil T. Mohan

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

We consider nonlinear filters for diffusion processes when the observation and signal noises are small and of the same order. As the noise intensities approach zero, the nonlinear filter can be approximated by a certain variational problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Anugu Sumith Reddy , Amarjit Budhiraja , Amit Apte

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang