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We study the asymptotic behavior of small deviation probabilities for the critical Galton-Watson processes with infinite variance of the offspring sizes of particles and apply the obtained result to investigate the structure of a reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova , Yakubdjan Khusanbaev

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of supremum distribution of some classes of iterated stochastic processes $\{X(Y(t)) : t \in [0, \infty)\}$, where $\{X(t) : t \in \mathbb{R} \}$ is a centered Gaussian process and $\{Y(t): t…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Marek Arendarczyk

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

If the Euclidean norm is strongly concentrated with respect to a measure, the average distribution of an average marginal of this measure has Gaussian asymptotics that captures tail behaviour. If the marginals of the measure have…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2007-08-28 Sasha Sodin

We investigate the Large Deviation behavior in small time of continuous Gaussian processes. We introduce a general procedure allowing to derive Large Deviation Principles in small time starting from the well understood context of Large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Paolo Baldi , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

We provide the asymptotic minimax detection boundary for a bump, i.e. an abrupt change, in the mean function of a stationary Gaussian process. This will be characterized in terms of the asymptotic behavior of the bump length and height as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Farida Enikeeva , Axel Munk , Markus Pohlmann , Frank Werner

We consider the problem of finding, for a given quadratic measure of non-uniformity of a set of $N$ points (such as $L_2$ star-discrepancy or diaphony), the asymptotic distribution of this discrepancy for truly random points in the limit…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 Andre van Hameren , Ronald Kleiss , Jiri Hoogland

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

We derive logarithmic asymptotics of probabilities of small deviations for iterated processes in the space of trajectories. We find conditions under which these asymptotics coincide with those of processes generating iterated processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Andrei N. Frolov

Dynamical systems with $\epsilon$ small random perturbations appear in both continuous mechanical motions and discrete stochastic chemical kinetics. The present work provides a detailed analysis of the central limit theorem (CLT), with a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Yu-Chen Cheng , Hong Qian

Estimation and prediction problems for dense signals are often framed in terms of minimax problems over highly symmetric parameter spaces. In this paper, we study minimax problems over l2-balls for high-dimensional linear models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Lee Dicker

We study moderate deviations of suprema of parametrized sequences of sample bounded Gaussian processes $\{X _x(t), t\in T _x\}$, and first present recent sharp bounds in simple cases. In the almost periodic case, we prove an approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Michel Weber

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro

In this paper, we consider asymptotic behaviors of multiscale multivalued stochastic systems with small noises. First of all, for general, fully coupled systems for multivalued stochastic differential equations of slow and fast motions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Huijie Qiao

We consider exact asymptotics of the minimax risk for global testing against sparse alternatives in the context of high dimensional linear regression. Our results characterize the leading order behavior of this minimax risk in several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

We consider the class of self-similar Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and compute the small-time (near-maturity) asymptotics for the corresponding asset price density, the call and put pricing functions, and the implied volatilities.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-16 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

We study a class of discrete-time random walks in $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose conditional drift decays polynomially in time and grows polynomially with the distance from the origin to the current position. This class is related to several models…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Ngo P. N. Ngoc , Tuan-Minh Nguyen

We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko