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Some recent works reveal that there are models of differential equations for the mean and variance of infected individuals that reproduce the SIS epidemic model at some point. This stochastic SIS epidemic model can be interpreted as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Oğul Esen , Eduardo Fernández-Saiz , Cristina Sardón , Marcin Zając

The mathematical model of the spread of the epidemic is developed, which considers fluctuations in the number of human social contacts. The model is based on the logistic equation. The oscillation in the number of social contacts within one…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-01 S. P. Fisenko , P. S. Grinchuk

We show that the simplest stochastic epidemiological models with spatial correlations exhibit two types of oscillatory behaviour in the endemic phase. In a large parameter range, the oscillations are due to resonant amplification of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-06-02 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

The impact of spatial structure on the spread of an epidemic is an important issue in the propagation of infectious diseases. Recent studies, both deterministic and stochastic, have made it possible to understand the importance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Alphonse Emakoua

In this paper, we focus on the influence of heterogeneity and stochasticity of the population on the dynamical structure of a basic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. First we prove that, upon a suitable mathematical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Andreas Widder , Christian Kuehn

The effects of demographic stochasticity in the long term behaviour of endemic infectious diseases have been considered for long as a necessary addition to an underlying deterministic theory. The latter would explain the regular behaviour…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-29 M. Simões , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

Using the theory of Lie-Hamilton systems, formal generalized time-dependent Hamiltonian systems that enlarge a recently proposed SIS epidemic model with a variable infection rate are considered. It is shown that, independently on the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-08-10 Rutwig Campoamor-Stursberg , Eduardo Fernandez-Saiz , Francisco J. Herranz

Understanding how social behavior influences epidemic dynamics has become a central focus in mathematical epidemiology. In particular, \textit{behavioral homophily} (the tendency of individuals to associate with similar others) and…

Interactions between commuting individuals can lead to large-scale spreading of rumors, ideas, or disease, even though the commuters have no net displacement. The emergent dynamics depend crucially on the commuting distribution of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-30 Aaron Winn , Adam Konkol , Eleni Katifori

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

The diffusive epidemic process is a paradigmatic example of an absorbing state phase transition in which healthy and infected individuals spread with different diffusion constants. Using stochastic activity spreading simulations in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-02 Borislav Polovnikov , Patrick Wilke , Erwin Frey

Using the theory of large deviations, macroscopic fluctuation theory provides a framework to understand the behaviour of non-equilibrium dynamics and steady states in diffusive systems. We extend this framework to a minimal model of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-02 D. R. Michiel Renger , Upanshu Sharma

We consider the class of SIS epidemic models in which a large population of individuals chooses whether to adopt protection or to remain unprotected as the epidemic evolves. For a susceptible individual, adopting protection reduces the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-22 Abhisek Satapathi , Narendra Kumar Dhar , Ashish R. Hota , Vaibhav Srivastava

Consider an epidemic model with a constant flux of susceptibles, in a situation where the corresponding deterministic epidemic model has a unique stable endemic equilibrium. For the associated stochastic model, whose law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-06 Etienne Pardoux

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Zhi-An Wang

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

We study an individual-based stochastic epidemic model in which infected individuals become susceptible again following each infection (generalized SIS model). Specifically, after each infection, the infectivity is a random function of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Arsene-Brice Zotsa-Ngoufack

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

We extend a technique of approximation of the long-term behavior of a supercritical stochastic epidemic model, using the WKB approximation and a Hamiltonian phase space, to the subcritical case. The limiting behavior of the model and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-04 Lee Worden , Ira B. Schwartz , Simone Bianco , Sarah F. Ackley , Thomas M. Lietman , Travis C. Porco

We study an individual-based stochastic epidemic model in which infected individuals become susceptible again following each infection. In contrast to classical compartment models, after each infection, the infectivity is a random function…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Raphaël Forien , Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Arsene Brice Zotsa-Ngoufack
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