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The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models provide a flexible framework for data analysis but are often hindered by the computational expense of traditional inference methods like MCMC. A fast, recursive algorithm proposed by Newton (2002)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Bernardo Flores

Predictive recursion is an accurate and computationally efficient algorithm for nonparametric estimation of mixing densities in mixture models. In semiparametric mixture models, however, the algorithm fails to account for any uncertainty in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Ryan Martin , Surya T. Tokdar

A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Four decades after their invention, quasi-Newton methods are still state of the art in unconstrained numerical optimization. Although not usually interpreted thus, these are learning algorithms that fit a local quadratic approximation to…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Philipp Hennig , Martin Kiefel

Quasi-Newton algorithms are among the most popular iterative methods for solving unconstrained minimization problems, largely due to their favorable superlinear convergence property. However, existing results for these algorithms are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Ruichen Jiang , Qiujiang Jin , Aryan Mokhtari

Mixture models have received considerable attention recently and Newton [Sankhy\={a} Ser. A 64 (2002) 306--322] proposed a fast recursive algorithm for estimating a mixing distribution. We prove almost sure consistency of this recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin , Jayanta K. Ghosh

An empirical Bayes problem has an unknown prior to be estimated from data. The predictive recursion (PR) algorithm provides fast nonparametric estimation of mixing distributions and is ideally suited for empirical Bayes applications. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-19 Ryan Martin

When faced with high frequency streams of data, clustering raises theoretical and algorithmic pitfalls. We introduce a new and adaptive online clustering algorithm relying on a quasi-Bayesian approach, with a dynamic (i.e., time-dependent)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-24 Le Li , Benjamin Guedj , Sébastien Loustau

We investigate boosted online regression and propose a novel family of regression algorithms with strong theoretical bounds. In addition, we implement several variants of the proposed generic algorithm. We specifically provide theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Dariush Kari , Farhan Khan , Selami Ciftci , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing density based on observations from the corresponding mixture is a challenging statistical problem. This paper surveys the literature on a fast, recursive estimator based on the predictive recursion…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Ryan Martin

We present a new method to approximate posterior probabilities of Bayesian Network using Deep Neural Network. Experiment results on several public Bayesian Network datasets shows that Deep Neural Network is capable of learning joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Jie Jia , Honggang Zhou , Yunchun Li

This chapter introduces the Bayesian reflex -- an analogy with the autonomic nervous system -- as a unifying framework for online learning in AI. Bayesian online algorithms automatically maintain equilibrium in dynamic environments via…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Durba Bhattacharya , Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We characterize probabilities in Bayesian networks in terms of algebraic expressions called quasi-probabilities. These are arrived at by casting Bayesian networks as noisy AND-OR-NOT networks, and viewing the subnetworks that lead to a node…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Lenhart Schubert

The Gaussian mixture model is a classic technique for clustering and data modeling that is used in numerous applications. With the rise of big data, there is a need for parameter estimation techniques that can handle streaming data and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Priyank Jaini , Pascal Poupart

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Quantum machine learning promises great speedups over classical algorithms, but it often requires repeated computations to achieve a desired level of accuracy for its point estimates. Bayesian learning focuses more on sampling from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-21 Noah Berner , Vincent Fortuin , Jonas Landman

It has recently been shown that many of the existing quasi-Newton algorithms can be formulated as learning algorithms, capable of learning local models of the cost functions. Importantly, this understanding allows us to safely start…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-06 Adrian G. Wills , Thomas B. Schön
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