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We here consider the subset simulation method which approaches a failure event using a decreasing sequence of nested intermediate failure events. The method resembles importance sampling, which actively explores a probability space by…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-16 Kenan Šehić , Mirza Karamehmedović

This paper proposes a new formulation of functional Gaussian Process regression in manifolds, based on an Empirical Bayes approach, in the spatiotemporal random field context. We apply the machinery of tight Gaussian measures in separable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 MD Ruiz-Medina , AE Madrid , A Torres-Signes , JM Angulo

Local Polynomial Regression (LPR) is a powerful tool for nonparametric smoothing, yet it traditionally suffers from a "Euclidean tautology": the variables used to define the local neighborhood are identical to those used in the polynomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Yaniv Shulman

Limited resources motivate decomposing large-scale problems into smaller,``local" subsystems and stitching together the so-found solutions. We explore the physics underlying this approach and discuss the concept of ``local hardness", i.e.,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-12-24 Mutian Shen , Gerardo Ortiz , Zhiqiao Dong , Martin Weigel , Zohar Nussinov

Many pre-trained models (PTMs) are available in modern applications. Because different PTMs are often trained on different datasets, their performances can vary substantially for different new tasks, and the ranking of the candidates may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ziwen Gao , Baihua He , Yuhong Yang

Gaussian processes are powerful models for probabilistic machine learning, but are limited in application by their $O(N^3)$ inference complexity. We propose a method for deriving parametric families of kernel functions with compact spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Jarred Barber

Global sensitivity analysis of complex numerical simulators is often limited by the small number of model evaluations that can be afforded. In such settings, surrogate models built from a limited set of simulations can substantially reduce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Guerlain Lambert , Céline Helbert , Claire Lauvernet

We propose a new shape analysis approach based on the non-local analysis of local shape variations. Our method relies on a novel description of shape variations, called Local Probing Field (LPF), which describes how a local probing operator…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2017-11-03 Julie Digne , Sébastien Valette , Raphaëlle Chaine

Modularity is a compelling solution to continual learning (CL), the problem of modeling sequences of related tasks. Learning and then composing modules to solve different tasks provides an abstraction to address the principal challenges of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Oleksiy Ostapenko , Pau Rodriguez , Massimo Caccia , Laurent Charlin

Active learning, which effectively collects informative unlabeled data for annotation, reduces the demand for labeled data. In this work, we propose to retrieve unlabeled samples with a local sensitivity and hardness-aware acquisition…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Shujian Zhang , Chengyue Gong , Xingchao Liu , Pengcheng He , Weizhu Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

We propose two approaches of locally adaptive activation functions namely, layer-wise and neuron-wise locally adaptive activation functions, which improve the performance of deep and physics-informed neural networks. The local adaptation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Ameya D. Jagtap , Kenji Kawaguchi , George Em Karniadakis

Estimating causal effects from nonexperimental data is a fundamental problem in many fields of science. A key component of this task is selecting an appropriate set of covariates for confounding adjustment to avoid bias. Most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Zheng Li , Xichen Guo , Feng Xie , Yan Zeng , Hao Zhang , Zhi Geng

We develop a Bayesian framework for the efficient estimation of impulse responses using Local Projections (LPs) with instrumental variables. It accommodates multiple shocks and instruments, accounts for autocorrelation in multi-step…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-11 Florian Huber , Christian Matthes , Michael Pfarrhofer

Active learning (AL) has shown promise for being a particularly data-efficient machine learning approach. Yet, its performance depends on the application and it is not clear when AL practitioners can expect computational savings. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Kunal Ghosh , Milica Todorović , Aki Vehtari , Patrick Rinke

With observational data alone, causal structure learning is a challenging problem. The task becomes easier when having access to data collected from perturbations of the underlying system, even when the nature of these is unknown. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Armeen Taeb , Juan L. Gamella , Christina Heinze-Deml , Peter Bühlmann

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Much recent work has concerned sparse approximations to speed up the Gaussian process regression from the unfavorable O(n3) scaling in computational time to O(nm2). Thus far, work has concentrated on models with one covariance function.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Jarno Vanhatalo , Aki Vehtari

We study the relationship between online Gaussian process (GP) regression and kernel least mean squares (KLMS) algorithms. While the latter have no capacity of storing the entire posterior distribution during online learning, we discover…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Steven Van Vaerenbergh , Jesus Fernandez-Bes , Víctor Elvira

Making predictions robust is an important challenge. A separate challenge in federated learning (FL) is to reduce the number of communication rounds, particularly since doing so reduces performance in heterogeneous data settings. To tackle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mohsin Hasan , Zehao Zhang , Kaiyang Guo , Mahdi Karami , Guojun Zhang , Xi Chen , Pascal Poupart

We consider spatially dependent functional data collected under a geostatistics setting, where locations are sampled from a spatial point process. The functional response is the sum of a spatially dependent functional effect and a spatially…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Haozhe Zhang , Yehua Li
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