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Related papers: Adaptive Hedging under Delayed Feedback

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In this paper, we consider online learning in generalized linear contextual bandits where rewards are not immediately observed. Instead, rewards are available to the decision-maker only after some delay, which is unknown and stochastic. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Jose Blanchet , Renyuan Xu , Zhengyuan Zhou

We demonstrate that time-delayed feedback control can be improved by adaptively tuning the feedback gain. This adaptive controller is applied to the stabilization of an unstable fixed point and an unstable periodic orbit embedded in a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-08-10 Judith Lehnert , Philipp Hövel , Valentin Flunkert , Peter Yu. Guzenko , Alexander L. Fradkov , Eckehard Schöll

We consider the problem setting of prediction with expert advice with possibly heavy-tailed losses, i.e. the only assumption on the losses is an upper bound on their second moments, denoted by $\theta$. We develop adaptive algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Antoine Moulin , Emmanuel Esposito , Dirk van der Hoeven

We show that the Hedge algorithm, a method that is widely used in Machine Learning, can be interpreted as a particular instance of Dual Averaging schemes, which have recently been introduced by Nesterov for regret minimization. Based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Michel Baes , Michael Bürgisser

Online learning with delayed feedback has received increasing attention recently due to its several applications in distributed, web-based learning problems. In this paper we provide a systematic study of the topic, and analyze the effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-02 Pooria Joulani , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

For each of $T$ time steps, $m$ experts report probability distributions over $n$ outcomes; we wish to learn to aggregate these forecasts in a way that attains a no-regret guarantee. We focus on the fundamental and practical aggregation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Eric Neyman , Tim Roughgarden

In this paper, we provide a general framework for studying multi-agent online learning problems in the presence of delays and asynchronicities. Specifically, we propose and analyze a class of adaptive dual averaging schemes in which agents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Yu-Guan Hsieh , Franck Iutzeler , Jérôme Malick , Panayotis Mertikopoulos

Online structured prediction is a task of sequentially predicting outputs with complex structures based on inputs and past observations, encompassing online classification. Recent studies showed that in the full-information setting, we can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yuki Shibukawa , Taira Tsuchiya , Shinsaku Sakaue , Kenji Yamanishi

This paper shows how universal learning can be achieved with expert advice. To this aim, we specify an experts algorithm with the following characteristics: (a) it uses only feedback from the actions actually chosen (bandit setup), (b) it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

When dealing with time series with complex non-stationarities, low retrospective regret on individual realizations is a more appropriate goal than low prospective risk in expectation. Online learning algorithms provide powerful guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-30 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Abigail Z. Jacobs , Kristina Lisa Klinkner , Aaron Clauset

In this paper, we study the robustness of classical deep hedging strategies under distributional shifts by leveraging the concept of adversarial attacks. We first demonstrate that standard deep hedging models are highly vulnerable to small…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Guangyi He , Tobias Sutter , Lukas Gonon

The method of defensive forecasting is applied to the problem of prediction with expert advice for binary outcomes. It turns out that defensive forecasting is not only competitive with the Aggregating Algorithm but also handles the case of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-08-13 Vladimir Vovk

We apply the method of defensive forecasting, based on the use of game-theoretic supermartingales, to prediction with expert advice. In the traditional setting of a countable number of experts and a finite number of outcomes, the Defensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-12 Alexey Chernov , Yuri Kalnishkan , Fedor Zhdanov , Vladimir Vovk

We show how models for prediction with expert advice can be defined concisely and clearly using hidden Markov models (HMMs); standard HMM algorithms can then be used to efficiently calculate, among other things, how the expert predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-02-15 Wouter Koolen , Steven de Rooij

We prove the familiar Lazy Online Gradient Descent algorithm is universal on polytope domains. That means it gets $O(1)$ pseudo-regret against i.i.d opponents, while simultaneously achieving the well-known $O(\sqrt N)$ worst-case regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Daron Anderson , Douglas Leith

In matching markets such as kidney exchanges and freight exchanges, delayed matching has been shown to improve overall market efficiency. The benefits of delay are highly sensitive to participants' sojourn times and departure behavior, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Ruiqi Zhou , Donghao Zhu , Houcai Shen

We consider a general framework of online learning with expert advice where regret is defined with respect to sequences of experts accepted by a weighted automaton. Our framework covers several problems previously studied, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

We specify an experts algorithm with the following characteristics: (a) it uses only feedback from the actions actually chosen (bandit setup), (b) it can be applied with countably infinite expert classes, and (c) it copes with losses that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

Deep hedging is a deep-learning-based framework for derivative hedging in incomplete markets. The advantage of deep hedging lies in its ability to handle various realistic market conditions, such as market frictions, which are challenging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Masanori Hirano , Kentaro Minami , Kentaro Imajo

Federated Learning (FL) typically aggregates client model parameters using a weighting approach determined by sample proportions. However, this naive weighting method may lead to unfairness and degradation in model performance due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Mingwei Xu , Xiaofeng Cao , Ivor W. Tsang , James T. Kwok