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This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Stochastic modeling of transcription is a classic yet long-standing problem in theoretical biophysics. The lack of unified results and a computationally efficient approach for a general, fine-grained transcription model has confined…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-17 Yuntao Lu , Yunxin Zhang

In this paper, we define an underlying data generating process that allows for different magnitudes of cross-sectional dependence, along with time series autocorrelation. This is achieved via high-dimensional moving average processes of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-22 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

Dynamic graph augmentation is used to improve the performance of dynamic GNNs. Most methods assume temporal locality, meaning that recent edges are more influential than earlier edges. However, for temporal changes in edges caused by random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Xu Chu , Hanlin Xue , Bingce Wang , Xiaoyang Liu , Weiping Li , Tong Mo , Tuoyu Feng , Zhijie Tan

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

This paper presents how to use Chebyshev Tensors to compute dynamic sensitivities of financial instruments within a Monte Carlo simulation. Dynamic sensitivities are then used to compute Dynamic Initial Margin as defined by ISDA (SIMM). The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Mariano Zeron , Ignacio Ruiz

A regression-based framework for interpretable multi-way data imputation, termed Kernel Regression via Tensor Trains with Hadamard overparametrization (KReTTaH), is introduced. KReTTaH adopts a nonparametric formulation by casting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Duc Thien Nguyen , Konstantinos Slavakis , Eleftherios Kofidis , Dimitris Pados

Successfully achieving bipedal locomotion remains challenging due to real-world factors such as model uncertainty, random disturbances, and imperfect state estimation. In this work, we propose a novel metric for locomotive robustness -- the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Maegan Tucker , Kejun Li , Aaron D. Ames

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

In the low-dimensional case, the generalized additive coefficient model (GACM) proposed by Xue and Yang [Statist. Sinica 16 (2006) 1423-1446] has been demonstrated to be a powerful tool for studying nonlinear interaction effects of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Shujie Ma , Raymond J. Carroll , Hua Liang , Shizhong Xu

A new statistical procedure, based on a modified spline basis, is proposed to identify the linear components in the panel data model with fixed effects. Under some mild assumptions, the proposed procedure is shown to consistently estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-21 Ruiqi Liu , Ben Boukai , Zuofeng Shang

This work introduces a novel two-stage distributed framework to globally estimate constant parameters in a networked system, separating shared information from local estimation. The first stage uses dynamic average consensus to aggregate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-13 Ariana R. Mendez-Castillo , Rodrigo Aldana-Lopez , Antonio Ramirez-Trevino , Rosario Aragues , David Gomez-Gutierrez

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

This paper investigates nonlinear panel regression models with interactive fixed effects and introduces a general framework for parameter estimation under potentially non-convex objective functions. We propose a computationally feasible…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Kan Yao

This paper proposes estimation and inference procedures for the quantiles of individual heterogeneous slope coefficients within panel data. We develop a two-step quantile estimation framework for analyzing heterogeneity in individual…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Antonio F. Galvao , Ulrich Hounyo , Jiahao Lin

The dynamics of molecules are governed by rare event transitions between long-lived (metastable) states. To explore these transitions efficiently, many enhanced sampling protocols have been introduced that involve using simulations with…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-09-30 Maaike M. Galama , Hao Wu , Andreas Krämer , Mohsen Sadeghi , Frank Noé

Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-16 Wei Sun , Junhui Wang , Yixin Fang

This paper explores the dependence modeling of financial assets in a dynamic way and its critical role in measuring risk. Two new methods, called Accelerated Moving Window method and Bottom-up method are proposed to detect the change of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Yali Dou , Haiyan Liu , Georgios Aivaliotis

This paper presents the application of the concepts and approaches of linear graph (LG) theory in the modeling and simulation of a 4-wheel skid-steer mobile robotic system. An LG representation of the system is proposed and the accompanying…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Eric McCormick , Haoxiang Lang , Clarence W. de Silva

It is preferred that feature selectors be \textit{stable} for better interpretabity and robust prediction. Ensembling is known to be effective for improving the stability of feature selectors. Since ensembling is time-consuming, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Rina Onda , Zhengyan Gao , Masaaki Kotera , Kenta Oono
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