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We study the optimal stopping of an American call option in a random time-horizon under exponential spectrally negative L\'evy models. The random time-horizon is modeled as the so-called Omega default clock in insurance, which is the first…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-10 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Hongzhong Zhang

In a classical optimal stopping problem in continuous time, the agent can choose any stopping time without constraint. Dupuis and Wang (Optimal stopping with random intervention times, Advances in Applied Probability, 34, 141--157, 2002)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

We consider a fractional Brownian motion with unknown linear drift such that the drift coefficient has a prior normal distribution and construct a sequential test for the hypothesis that the drift is positive versus the alternative that it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Fractional Brownian motion is a self-affine, non-Markovian and translationally invariant generalization of Brownian motion, depending on the Hurst exponent $H$. Here we investigate fractional Brownian motion where both the starting and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

We consider a singular control problem that aims to maximize the expected cumulative rewards, where the instantaneous returns depend on the state of a controlled process. The contributions of this paper are twofold. Firstly, to establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco , Jose Luis Perez

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

This paper deals with optimal prediction in a regime-switching model driven by a continuous-time Markov chain. We extend existing results for geometric Brownian motion by deriving optimal stopping strategies that depend on the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Yue Liu , Nicolas Privault

We study decision timing problems on finite horizon with Poissonian information arrivals. In our model, a decision maker wishes to optimally time her action in order to maximize her expected reward. The reward depends on an unobservable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Michael Ludkovski , Semih Sezer

Given a stochastic state process $(X_t)_t$ and a real-valued submartingale cost process $(S_t)_t$, we characterize optimal stopping times $\tau$ that minimize the expectation of $S_\tau$ while realizing given initial and target…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Aaron Zeff Palmer

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Andrey Novikov

In an earlier paper (https://doi.org/10.1137/21M1393315), the Switch Point Algorithm was developed for solving optimal control problems whose solutions are either singular or bang-bang or both singular and bang-bang, and which possess a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-11 William W. Hager

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

We employ a natural method from the perspective of the optimal stopping theory to analyze entry-exit decisions with implementation delay of a project, and provide closed expressions for optimal entry decision times, optimal exit decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Yong-Chao Zhang

We derive closed-form solutions to the optimal stopping problems related to the pricing of perpetual American standard and lookback put and call options in the extensions of the Black-Merton-Scholes model with progressively enlarged…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Pavel V. Gapeev , Libo Li

We consider a directed random walk making either 0 or $+1$ moves and a Brownian bridge, independent of the walk, conditioned to arrive at point $b$ on time $T$. The Hamiltonian is defined as the sum of the square of increments of the bridge…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Servet Martinez , Dimitri Petritis

We consider the problem of finding a stopping time that minimises the $L^1$-distance to $\theta$, the time at which a L\'evy process attains its ultimate supremum. This problem was studied in [12] for a Brownian motion with drift and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-08 Erik Baurdoux , Kees van Schaik

We solve an optimal stopping problem where the underlying diffusion is Brownian motion on $\bf R$ with a positive drift changing at zero. It is assumed that the drift $\mu_1$ on the negative side is smaller than the drift $\mu_2$ on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Ernesto Mordecki , Paavo Salminen

We consider an entropy-regularized version of optimal density control of deterministic discrete-time linear systems. Entropy regularization, or a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) method for optimal control has attracted much attention especially in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Kaito Ito , Kenji Kashima

Standard Markovian optimal stopping problems are consistent in the sense that the first entrance time into the stopping set is optimal for each initial state of the process. Clearly, the usual concept of optimality cannot in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö

In this paper, we solve the existence problem of optimal stopping problem under some kind of nonlinear expectation named g_\Gamma expectation which was recently introduced in Peng, S.G. and Xu, M.Y. [8]. Our method based on our preceding…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Helin Wu
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