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Extinction is the ultimate absorbing state of any stochastic birth-death process, hence the time to extinction is an important characteristic of any natural population. Here we consider logistic and logistic-like systems under the combined…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-27 Yitzhak Yahalom , Nadav M. Shnerb

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

The role of the selection pressure and mutation amplitude on the behavior of a single-species population evolving on a two-dimensional lattice, in a periodically changing environment, is studied both analytically and numerically. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Ioana Bena , Michel Droz , Janusz Szwabinski , Andrzej Pekalski

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

Motivated by modeling the dynamics of a population living in a flowing medium where the environmental factors are random in space, we have studied an asymmetric variant of the one-dimensional contact process, where the quenched random…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-16 Róbert Juhász

The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Eric Foxall

Theoretical ecologists have long sought to understand how the persistence of populations depends on biotic and abiotic factors. Classical work showed that demographic stochasticity causes the mean time to extinction to increase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Otso Ovaskainen , Baruch Meerson

We study the non-equilibrium phase transition between survival and extinction of spatially extended biological populations using an agent-based model. We especially focus on the effects of global temporal fluctuations of the environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Hatem Barghathi , Skye Tackkett , Thomas Vojta

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

Density dependence is important in the ecology and evolution of microbial and cancer cells. Typically, we can only measure net growth rates, but the underlying density-dependent mechanisms that give rise to the observed dynamics can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-04 Linh Huynh , Jacob G. Scott , Peter J. Thomas

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

Environmental changes greatly influence the evolution of populations. Here, we study the dynamics of a population of two strains, one growing slightly faster than the other, competing for resources in a time-varying binary environment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ami Taitelbaum , Robert West , Michael Assaf , Mauro Mobilia

Population dynamics in random ecological networks are investigated by analyzing a simple deterministic equation. It is found that a sequence of abrupt changes of populations punctuating quiescent states characterize the long time behavior.…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Shin-ichi Sasa , Tsuyoshi Chawanya

Many-variable differential equations with random coefficients provide powerful models for the dynamics of many interacting species in ecology. These models are known to exhibit a dynamical phase transition from a phase where population…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-19 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey , Guy Bunin

A model of the dynamics of natural rotifer populations is described as a discrete nonlinear map depending on three parameters, which reflect characteristics of the population and environment. Model dynamics and their change by variation of…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Faina S. Berezovskaya , Georgy P. Karev , Terry W. Snell

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

This chapter provides a pedagogical introduction and overview of spatial and temporal correlation and fluctuation effects resulting from the fundamentally stochastic kinetics underlying chemical reactions and the dynamics of populations or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-22 Uwe C. Täuber

Starting from the well-known field theory for directed percolation, we describe an evolving population, near extinction, in an environment with its own nontrivial spatio-temporal dynamics. Here, we consider the special case where the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sayak Mukherjee , H. K. Janssen , B. Schmittmann
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