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The unscented transformation (UT) is an efficient method to solve the state estimation problem for a non-linear dynamic system, utilizing a derivative-free higher-order approximation by approximating a Gaussian distribution rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-29 Xi Liu , Badong Chen , Bin Xu , Zongze Wu , Paul Honeine

We develop a new approach for estimating the expected values of nonlinear functions applied to multivariate random variables with arbitrary distributions. Rather than assuming a particular distribution, we assume that we are only given the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Deanna Easley , Tyrus Berry

In this paper, we address the risk estimation problem where one aims at estimating the probability of violation of safety constraints for a robot in the presence of bounded uncertainties with arbitrary probability distributions. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Ashkan Jasour , Andreas Hofmann , Brian C. Williams

This paper presents novel polytopic and interval observer designs for uncertain linear continuous-time (CT) and discrete-time (DT) systems subjected to bounded disturbances and noise. Our approach guarantees enclosure of the true state and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-04 Feiya Zhu , Tarun Pati , Sze Zheng Yong

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

In this manuscript, we present a novel method for estimating the stochastic stability characteristics of metastable legged systems using the unscented transformation. Prior methods for stability analysis in such systems often required…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Guner Dilsad ER , Mustafa Mert Ankarali

The unscented transform uses a weighted set of samples called sigma points to propagate the means and covariances of nonlinear transformations of random variables. However, unscented transforms developed using either the Gaussian assumption…

Uncertain partially observable Markov decision processes (uPOMDPs) allow the probabilistic transition and observation functions of standard POMDPs to belong to a so-called uncertainty set. Such uncertainty, referred to as epistemic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Marnix Suilen , Ufuk Topcu

The paper describes the robust algorithm for linear time-invariant plants under parametric uncertainties, external disturbances and high-frequency noises in measurements. The proposed algorithm allows one to reduce the noise impact on the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-30 I. B. Furtat , A. N. Nekhoroshikh

In highly nonlinear systems such as the ones commonly found in astrodynamics, Gaussian distributions generally evolve into non-Gaussian distributions. This paper introduces a method for effectively controlling non-Gaussian distributions in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-16 Daniel C. Qi , Kenshiro Oguri , Puneet Singla , Maruthi R. Akella

Non-commutative polynomial optimization is a powerful technique with numerous applications in quantum nonlocality, quantum key distribution, causal inference, many-body physics, amongst others. The standard approach is to reduce such…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-25 Andrew J. P. Garner , Mateus Araújo

Most nonlinear filters used in spacecraft navigation are based on a linear approximation of the optimal minimum mean square error estimator. The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) handles nonlinear dynamics through a sigma-point transform, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Chiran Cherian , Simone Servadio

We propose a novel polyhedral uncertainty set for robust optimization, termed the smooth uncertainty set, which captures dependencies of uncertain parameters by constraining their pairwise differences. The bounds on these differences may be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Noam Goldberg , Michael Poss , Shimrit Shtern

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

In classic robust optimization, it is assumed that a set of possible parameter realizations, the uncertainty set, is modeled in a previous step and part of the input. As recent work has shown, finding the most suitable uncertainty set is in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-18 André Chassein , Marc Goerigk

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

Uncertainty quantification is a key aspect in many tasks such as model selection/regularization, or quantifying prediction uncertainties to perform active learning or OOD detection. Within credal approaches that consider modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Tuan-Anh Vu , Sébastien Destercke , Frédéric Pichon

This paper employs an alternate dynamical model of the circular restricted three body problem to quantify uncertainties associated with spacecraft thrusting maneuvers. A non-product quadrature scheme known as Conjugate Unscented Transform…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Sharad Sharan , Amit Jain , Roshan T. Eapen , Puneet Singla

Monitoring flowers over time is essential for precision robotic pollination in agriculture. To accomplish this, a continuous spatial-temporal observation of plant growth can be done using stationary RGB-D cameras. However, image…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Andy Chu , Rashik Shrestha , Yu Gu , Jason N. Gross
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